Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MNDY analysis

monday.com Ltd.Software - Application. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MNDY
monday.com Ltd. · Software - Application
FCF$313mC
Rev+26.7%A-
D/E0.38B
P/E39.4xB
PEG0.28A
73.5Score
$92.90$3.9B
1Y Target$109.00Analyst consensus · 23 analysts
5Y Target$159.59Compound horizon
10Y Target$236.74Long-dated conviction
FCF$313mTTM
C
FCF $313m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+26.7%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +26.7% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.38
B
D/E 0.38 — near the Technology debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E39.4x
B
P/E 39.4 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.28
A
PEG 0.28 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 73.5
Quality46.4
Growth92.4
Value92.6
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
58% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value38% belowest. fair value ~$150
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~1% a year for the next decade — vs the ~22% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability52% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-0.1% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Our Bull Rankings model gives monday.com a 75.8/100 quality‑growth score, with Growth at a perfect 100 and Quality at 48. The thesis hinges on monday’s Work OS platform, which powers its monday work management product that already captures 26.7% YoY revenue growth and a 9.6% profit margin. The company’s $313 m free‑cash‑flow and a debt‑to‑equity of 0.23 underpin a sustainable expansion that can be compounded by the platform’s modular, cloud‑based architecture, ensuring revenue keeps compounding.
Moat
The Work OS’s modular building blocks create a network effect: each new team member can add or reconfigure boards without additional licensing, locking in large enterprise customers. This reduces churn and raises switching costs, as competitors must rebuild the same flexibility from scratch. The platform’s visual workflow engine also lowers implementation time, giving monday.com a cost advantage that competitors cannot duplicate quickly.
Risk
The bear case centers on the elevated P/E of 41, which already prices in a 2% free‑cash‑flow growth implied by the reverse‑DCF—far below the 26.7% revenue growth rate. If revenue growth slows or margins compress to below 9.6%, the high multiple will become unsustainable. A sharp rise in debt‑to‑equity or a beta spike above 1.13 would signal execution risk and erode the moat, breaking the bull thesis.
Horizon
1-3 yr $109.00 (23-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $159.59 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $236.74 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MNDY vs the Top Picks average

PillarMNDYBook avgDiff
Quality0.460.84-0.37
Growth0.920.84+0.08
Value0.930.78+0.14

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-2.4 over 47 daily scores
From 75.9 (Jun 22) → 73.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+2.1%
90-day change+3.0%
Forward EPS estimate$6.68

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MNDY to earn is drifting higher (+3.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
21
Position size
$1,951
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$69.68
25% below $92.90
$ at risk if stopped
$487.73
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

monday.com Ltd. (MNDY): score, valuation & FAQ

monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) is a Software - Application company that scores 73.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and Rev (A-). On valuation, MNDY sits about 38% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is MNDY a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MNDY 73.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of monday.com Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MNDY score 73.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MNDY earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and Rev (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MNDY overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $92.90, MNDY sits about 38% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 39.4x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MNDY?

The bear case centers on the elevated P/E of 41, which already prices in a 2% free‑cash‑flow growth implied by the reverse‑DCF—far below the 26.7% revenue growth rate. If revenue growth slows or margins compress to below 9.6%, the high multiple will become unsustainable. A sharp rise in debt‑to‑equity or a beta spike above 1.13 would signal execution risk and erode the moat, breaking the bull thesis.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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