Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MGEE analysis

MGE Energy, Inc.Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MGEE
MGE Energy, Inc. · Utilities - Regulated Electric
FCF-$131mF
Rev+9.9%B
D/E0.65A
P/S3.9xC
PEG4.12D
54.7Score
$78.66$3.0B
1Y Target$78.25Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$136.86Compound horizon
10Y Target$244.59Long-dated conviction
FCF-$131mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$131m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+9.9%FY YoY
B
Revenue +9.9% — at or above S&P median · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.65
A
D/E 0.65 — least levered decile in Utilities (≈10th pctile)
P/S3.9x
C
P/S 3.9x — expensive vs Utilities peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG4.12
D
PEG 4.12 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 54.7
Quality55.9
Growth65.3
Value44.7
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
11% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
ROIC5.9% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $3.0b. 11% off the 52-week high of $88.01. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $78.25 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
Net margin 20% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$131m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $78.25 (4-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $136.86 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $244.59 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MGEE vs the Top Picks average

PillarMGEEBook avgDiff
Quality0.560.84-0.28
Growth0.650.84-0.19
Value0.450.78-0.34

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.5 over 47 daily scores
From 55.2 (Jun 22) → 54.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+2.3%
90-day change+3.0%
Forward EPS estimate$4.24

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MGEE to earn is drifting higher (+3.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
25
Position size
$1,967
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$58.99
25% below $78.66
$ at risk if stopped
$491.63
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE): score, valuation & FAQ

MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 54.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while PEG (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is MGEE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MGEE 54.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of MGE Energy, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MGEE score 54.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MGEE earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by PEG (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MGEE overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for MGEE — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in MGEE?

Free cash flow is negative (-$131m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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