Bull Rankings model

MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE) stock analysis

Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
MGEE
MGE Energy, Inc. · Utilities - Regulated Electric
62.4Score
$70.22Oct 9 close$2.7B
1Y Target$76.80Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$134.32Compound horizon
10Y Target$240.06Long-dated conviction
FCF-$131mTTM · 03/26
F
FCF is negative (-$131m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 03/26.
Rev+9.9%FY YoY
B
Revenue +9.9% — at or above S&P median · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.65
A
D/E 0.65 — least levered decile in Utilities (≈10th pctile)
P/S*3.5x
C
P/S 3.5x — expensive vs Utilities peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG4.12
D
PEG 4.12 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 62.4
Quality55.4
Growth66.8
Value65.7
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
20% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
ROIC5.9% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $2.7b. Down 20% from 52-week high of $87.94 — deep drawdown territory. 5 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $76.80 (implying +9% upside).
Moat
Net margin 20% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$131m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $76.80 (5-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $134.32 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $240.06 — return distribution heavily skewed.

MGEE vs the Top Picks average

PillarMGEEBook avgDiff
Quality5583-28
Growth6789-22
Value6676-10

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+7.2 over 82 daily scores
From 55.2 (Jun 22) → 62.4 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

MGEE at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD62.4/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY55.4GROWTH66.8VALUE65.7
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$70.2LOW $68HIGH $87.9Trading near its 52-week low ($68–$87.9).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-16%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100MGEE 62.4Top 23% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-1.1%
90-day change+1.3%
Forward EPS estimate$4.19

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MGEE to earn is drifting higher (+1.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
28
Position size
$1,966
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$52.66
25% below $70.22
$ at risk if stopped
$491.54
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE): score, valuation & FAQ

MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 62.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while PEG (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is MGEE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MGEE 62.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of MGE Energy, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MGEE score 62.4 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 66.8 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 55.4 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. MGEE earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by PEG (D) and FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so MGEE is measured against Utilities - Regulated Electric peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is MGEE overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for MGEE — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in MGEE?

Free cash flow is negative (-$131m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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