1Y Target$77.67Near-term target
5Y Target$115.71Compound horizon
10Y Target$301.10Long-dated conviction
FCF-$111mTTM · 03/26FFCF is negative (-$111m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+15.3%TTM YoYB+Revenue +15.3% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E1.44totalC+D/E 1.44 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S4.1xBP/S 4.1x — in line with software/tech peers
PEG1.11proxyB+PEG 1.11 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0) · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Utilities · market cap $5.8b. Trading near 52-week high of $58.57 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
Net margin 24% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$111m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $77.67 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $115.71 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $301.10 — return distribution heavily skewed.
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