Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

OGS analysis

ONE Gas IncUtilities. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

OGS
ONE Gas Inc · Utilities
FCF-$219mF
Rev+2.8%C
D/E0.90B
P/S2.2xA-
PEG6.52D
38.2Score
$78.09$5.0B
1Y Target$105.42Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$184.38Compound horizon
10Y Target$467.59Long-dated conviction
FCF-$219mTTM · 03/26
F
FCF is negative (-$219m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+2.8%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +2.8% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.90total
B
D/E 0.90 — at market average, manageable · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S2.2x
A-
P/S 2.2x — cheap for any tech/growth name
PEG6.52proxy
D
PEG 6.52 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 38.2
Quality0.46
Growth0.50
Value0.24
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
14% off the 12-month high
Why now
Utilities · market cap $5.0b. 14% off the 52-week high of $90.78.
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$219m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $105.42 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $184.38 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $467.59 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-25.8 over 29 daily scores
From 64.0 (Jun 22) → 38.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
25
Position size
$1,952
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$58.57
25% below $78.09
$ at risk if stopped
$488.06
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

ONE Gas Inc (OGS): score, valuation & FAQ

ONE Gas Inc (OGS) is a Utilities company that scores 38.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-), while PEG (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is OGS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores OGS 38.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/S (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of ONE Gas Inc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does OGS score 38.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). OGS earns its highest marks on P/S (A-), and is held back by PEG (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is OGS overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for OGS — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in OGS?

Free cash flow is negative (-$219m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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