Bull Rankings model

Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) stock analysis

Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CEPU
Central Puerto S.A. · Utilities - Regulated Electric
66.0Score
$12.64Oct 9 close$1.9B
1Y Target$23.81Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$30.06Compound horizon
10Y Target$38.55Long-dated conviction
FCF$40mTTM · 06/26
C-
FCF $40m — barely positive; fragile cash position · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+13.0%FY YoY
B+
Revenue +13.0% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.33
A
D/E 0.33 — least levered decile in Utilities (≈10th pctile)
P/E5.5x
A
P/E 5.5 — cheapest decile in Utilities (≈10th pctile)
PEG*—
—
PEG n/a — earnings aren't expected to grow

* PEG n/a — earnings aren't expected to grow

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 66
Quality70.2
Growth86.2
Value86.0
Why this score
  • Cut its dividend
  • Foreign reporter (ARS)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
32% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value158% aboveest. fair value ~$5
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 34% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~13% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $1.9b. Down 32% from 52-week high of $18.50 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 5 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $23.81 (implying +88% upside).
Moat
Net margin 29% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 19% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $23.81 (5-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $30.06 at ~19% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $38.55 if the moat survives secular pressure.

CEPU vs the Top Picks average

PillarCEPUBook avgDiff
Quality7083-13
Growth8689-3
Value8676+10

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+8.7 over 82 daily scores
From 57.3 (Jun 22) → 66.0 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

CEPU at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD66.0/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY70.2GROWTH86.2VALUE86.0Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~34% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$4.3$5.8FAIR-VALUE RANGE$12.6PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$4.9 · price $12.6 is 158% above it.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+50%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100CEPU 66.0Top 16% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.6%
Forward EPS estimate$1.68

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CEPU to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
158
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.48
25% below $12.64
$ at risk if stopped
$499.28
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU): score, valuation & FAQ

Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 66 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), P/E (A) and Rev (B+), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, CEPU sits about 158% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 34% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is CEPU a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CEPU 66 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A), P/E (A) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Central Puerto S.A.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CEPU score 66 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 86.2 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 70.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. CEPU earns its highest marks on D/E (A), P/E (A) and Rev (B+), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CEPU is measured against Utilities - Regulated Electric peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CEPU overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $12.64, CEPU sits about 158% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 34% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 5.5x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CEPU?

Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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