Methanex Corporation — Chemicals. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
MEOH
Methanex Corporation · Chemicals
FCF$917mC+
Rev-3.5%D+
D/E1.28D
P/S1.0xA-
PEG0.20A
48.4Score
$47.89$3.7B
1Y Target$70.78Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$123.79Compound horizon
10Y Target$313.93Long-dated conviction
FCF$917mTTMC+
FCF $917m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev-3.5%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -3.5% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E1.28D
D/E 1.28 — most levered decile in Basic Materials (≈95th pctile)
P/S1.0xA-
P/S 1.0x — cheaper than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.20A
PEG 0.20 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 48.4
Quality0.49
Growth0.26
Value0.87
Why this score
Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
28% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value70% belowest. fair value ~$161
What the price assumes: outright free-cash-flow decline for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability18% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC6.2% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Chemicals · market cap $3.7b. Down 28% from 52-week high of $66.75 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.20 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $70.78 (implying +48% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Net margin 4.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 5% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $70.78 (9-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $123.79 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $313.93 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · MEOH
Trend
+9.9 over 15 daily scores
From 38.5 (Jun 22) → 48.4 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · MEOH
$
%
%
Shares to buy
41
Position size
$1,963
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$35.92
25% below $47.89
$ at risk if stopped
$490.87
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Methanex Corporation (MEOH) is a Chemicals company that scores 48.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and P/S (A-), while Rev (D+) and D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, MEOH sits about 70% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade.
Is MEOH a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores MEOH 48.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and P/S (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Methanex Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does MEOH score 48.4 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MEOH earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and P/S (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+) and D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is MEOH overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $47.89, MEOH sits about 70% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in MEOH?
Net margin 4.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 5% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.