Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MANH analysis

Manhattan Associates, Inc.Software - Application. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MANH
Manhattan Associates, Inc. · Software - Application
FCF$380mC
Rev+4.8%C+
D/E0.27B
P/E57.1xC+
PEG1.95C+
67.2Score
$204.02$12.1B
1Y Target$185.45Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$271.52Compound horizon
10Y Target$402.79Long-dated conviction
FCF$380mTTM
C
FCF $380m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+4.8%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.8% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.27
B
D/E 0.27 — near the Technology debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E57.1x
C+
P/E 57.1 — above the Technology median (≈75th pctile)
PEG1.95
C+
PEG 1.95 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 67.2
Quality0.90
Growth0.74
Value0.45
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
11% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value76% aboveest. fair value ~$116
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~22% a year for the next decade — vs the ~11% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability83% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC108.4% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Software - Application · market cap $12.1b. 11% off the 52-week high of $229.58. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $185.45 (implying -9% upside).
Moat
Net margin 20% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. FCF converts 175% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. Software economics — recurring revenue, embedded customer workflows, and high gross margin all compound the moat once a base account is won. Switching costs are the lever.
Risk
Trailing P/E 57.1x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. P/S 11.0x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.
Horizon
1-3 yr $185.45 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $271.52 at ~6% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $402.79 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MANH vs the Top Picks average

PillarMANHBook avgDiff
Quality0.900.82+0.08
Growth0.740.90-0.16
Value0.450.75-0.30

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-5.5 over 32 daily scores
From 69.2 (Jun 22) → 63.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,836
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$153.02
25% below $204.02
$ at risk if stopped
$459.05
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Manhattan Associates, Inc. (MANH): score, valuation & FAQ

Manhattan Associates, Inc. (MANH) is a Software - Application company that scores 67.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, MANH sits about 76% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 22% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is MANH a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MANH 67.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Manhattan Associates, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MANH score 67.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MANH grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MANH overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $204.02, MANH sits about 76% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 22% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 57.1x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MANH?

Trailing P/E 57.1x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. P/S 11.0x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Software stocks by score

All Technology rankings →

Analyze another ticker →