Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

GRND analysis

Grindr Inc.Software - Application. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

GRND
Grindr Inc. · Software - Application
FCF$154mC
Rev+32.4%A
D/E
P/E33.5xB
PEG1.18B+
72.0Score
$15.73$2.7B
1Y Target$20.80Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$30.45Compound horizon
10Y Target$45.18Long-dated conviction
FCF$154mTTM
C
FCF $154m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+32.4%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +32.4% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/E33.5x
B
P/E 33.5 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.18est.
B+
PEG 1.18 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0) · PEG derived: P/E ÷ forward 1-year analyst EPS growth, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. Same earnings-growth basis as the reported figure on other rows.

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality78.2
Growth96.3
Value61.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
15% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value24% belowest. fair value ~$21
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~8% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Grindr’s premium subscription engine is the engine of growth, feeding a 31% YoY revenue surge while delivering a 19.9% profit margin on a platform that already generates $151 m of free cash flow. The Bull Rankings model gives it a 72/100 quality‑growth score, with Growth as the strongest pillar, underscoring that the subscription‑driven user base will keep compounding. The thesis rests on the platform’s ability to keep monetizing its expanding LGBTQ user community at a rate that outpaces peers.
Moat
The Global Gayborhood in Your Pocket brand creates a sticky network effect: LGBTQ adults rely on Grindr for both social discovery and dating, making switching costly because contacts and reputation are built into the app. Premium subscriptions and ad‑supported tiers monetize that lock‑in, and no direct competitor offers an equally comprehensive, globally recognized LGBTQ‑only ecosystem.
Risk
At a forward P/E of 37.3 the market is pricing in aggressive earnings expansion, yet the reverse‑DCF implies an 11% annual free‑cash‑flow growth—well below the 31% revenue growth rate—signaling that any slowdown in subscription uptake or margin compression would crush valuation. A miss on the next earnings beat would confirm that the high multiple is unjustified and could trigger a sell‑off.
Horizon
1-3 yr $20.80 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $30.45 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $45.18 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

GRND vs the Top Picks average

PillarGRNDBook avgDiff
Quality0.780.84-0.06
Growth0.960.84+0.12
Value0.620.78-0.17

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
0.0 over 47 daily scores
From 72.0 (Jun 22) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$0.77

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect GRND to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
127
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$11.80
25% below $15.73
$ at risk if stopped
$499.36
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Grindr Inc. (GRND): score, valuation & FAQ

Grindr Inc. (GRND) is a Software - Application company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (B+). On valuation, GRND sits about 24% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 8% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is GRND a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GRND 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Grindr Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GRND score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). GRND earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is GRND overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $15.73, GRND sits about 24% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 8% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 33.5x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in GRND?

At a forward P/E of 37.3 the market is pricing in aggressive earnings expansion, yet the reverse‑DCF implies an 11% annual free‑cash‑flow growth—well below the 31% revenue growth rate—signaling that any slowdown in subscription uptake or margin compression would crush valuation. A miss on the next earnings beat would confirm that the high multiple is unjustified and could trigger a sell‑off.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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