Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MAIR analysis

Madison Air Solutions CorporationBuilding Products & Equipment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MAIR
Madison Air Solutions Corporation · Building Products & Equipment
FCF$289mC
Rev+34.1%A
D/E0.87C+
P/E73.7xD
PEG2.17C
53.7Score
$31.71$15.9B
1Y Target$42.10Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$61.64Compound horizon
10Y Target$91.44Long-dated conviction
FCF$289mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $289m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+34.1%FY YoY
A
Revenue +34.1% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.87
C+
D/E 0.87 — above the Industrials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E73.7x
D
P/E 73.7 — most expensive decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
PEG2.17proxy
C
PEG 2.17 — expensive relative to growth rate · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 53.7
Quality0.52
Growth1.00
Value0.30
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
29% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value185% aboveest. fair value ~$11
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~37% a year for the next decade — vs the ~16% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Building Products & Equipment · market cap $15.9b. Down 29% from 52-week high of $44.50 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +34% — in hypergrowth territory. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $42.10 (implying +33% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Trailing P/E 73.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Net margin 3.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $42.10 (10-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $61.64 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $91.44 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MAIR vs the Top Picks average

PillarMAIRBook avgDiff
Quality0.520.84-0.32
Growth1.000.92+0.08
Value0.300.75-0.45

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+30.6 over 36 daily scores
From 23.1 (Jun 22) → 53.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
63
Position size
$1,998
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$23.78
25% below $31.71
$ at risk if stopped
$499.43
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR): score, valuation & FAQ

Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) is a Building Products & Equipment company that scores 53.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), while P/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, MAIR sits about 185% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 37% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is MAIR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MAIR 53.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Madison Air Solutions Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MAIR score 53.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MAIR earns its highest marks on Rev (A), and is held back by P/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MAIR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $31.71, MAIR sits about 185% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 37% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 73.7x× P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MAIR?

Trailing P/E 73.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Net margin 3.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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