Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LULU analysis

lululemon athletica inc.Apparel Retail. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

LULU
lululemon athletica inc. · Apparel Retail
FCF$1.3bC+
Rev+4.9%C+
D/E0.44B+
P/E9.2xA
PEG0.89B+
71.4Score
$116.51$13.2B
1Y Target$130.65Analyst consensus · 26 analysts
5Y Target$164.95Compound horizon
10Y Target$211.54Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.3bTTM
C+
FCF $1.3b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+4.9%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.9% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.44
B+
D/E 0.44 — below the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E9.2x
A
P/E 9.2 — cheapest decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.89
B+
PEG 0.89 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 71.4
Quality0.88
Growth0.49
Value0.84
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
52% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value37% belowest. fair value ~$186
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability73% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC33.5% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Apparel Retail · market cap $13.2b. Down 52% from 52-week high of $241.84 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.89 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 26 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $130.65 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 30% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 52% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $130.65 (26-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $164.95 at ~7% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $211.54 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
17
Position size
$1,981
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$87.38
25% below $116.51
$ at risk if stopped
$495.17
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

lululemon athletica inc. (LULU): score, valuation & FAQ

lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) is a Apparel Retail company that scores 71.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, LULU sits about 37% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is LULU a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LULU 71.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of lululemon athletica inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LULU score 71.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LULU earns its highest marks on P/E (A), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is LULU overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $116.51, LULU sits about 37% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 9.2x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LULU?

Down 52% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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