Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LPG analysis

Dorian LPG Ltd.Oil & Gas Midstream. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

LPG
Dorian LPG Ltd. · Oil & Gas Midstream
FCF$239mC
Rev+81.1%A
D/E0.52B
P/E6.5xA
PEG
68.3Score
$49.28$2.1B
1Y Target$51.80Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$75.84Compound horizon
10Y Target$112.50Long-dated conviction
FCF$239mTTM
C
FCF $239m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+81.1%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +81.1% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.52
B
D/E 0.52 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E6.5x
A
P/E 6.5 — cheapest decile in Energy (≈10th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68.3
Quality86.0
Growth50.0
Value74.2
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
5% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value41% belowest. fair value ~$84
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-13% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC15.3% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Oil & Gas Midstream · market cap $2.1b. 5% off the 52-week high of $52.10. Revenue growing +81% — in hypergrowth territory. 5 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $51.80 (implying +5% upside).
Moat
Net margin 55% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $51.80 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $75.84 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $112.50 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

LPG vs the Top Picks average

PillarLPGBook avgDiff
Quality0.860.83+0.02
Growth0.500.87-0.37
Value0.740.76-0.02

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+5.5 over 51 daily scores
From 62.8 (Jun 22) → 68.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

LPG at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD68.3/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY86.0GROWTH50.0VALUE74.2Reverse-DCF · Price implies roughly no growth from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$71.8$93.5FAIR-VALUE RANGE$49.3PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$83.9 · price $49.3 is 70% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$49.3$23.8 LOWHIGH $52.1Trading near its 52-week high ($23.8–$52.1).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+50%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+14.1%
90-day change+42.4%
Forward EPS estimate$4.29

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect LPG to earn is materially higher (+42.4%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
40
Position size
$1,971
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$36.96
25% below $49.28
$ at risk if stopped
$492.80
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG): score, valuation & FAQ

Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) is a Oil & Gas Midstream company that scores 68.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and P/E (A). On valuation, LPG sits about 41% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is LPG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LPG 68.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Dorian LPG Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LPG score 68.3 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 86.0 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. LPG earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and P/E (A). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so LPG is measured against Oil & Gas Midstream peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is LPG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $49.28, LPG sits about 41% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 6.5x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LPG?

Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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