Bull Rankings model

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) stock analysis

Oil & Gas Midstream. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
LNG
Cheniere Energy, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream
58.8Score
$278.18Oct 9 close$57.5B
1Y Target$310.57Analyst consensus · 21 analysts
5Y Target$454.71Compound horizon
10Y Target$674.53Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.8bTTM · 06/26
B
FCF $2.8b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+27.2%FY YoY
A-
Revenue +27.2% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E2.43
D
D/E 2.43 — most levered decile in Energy (≈95th pctile)
P/E21.0x
C+
P/E 21.0 — above the Energy median (≈75th pctile)
PEG9.46
D
PEG 9.46 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 58.8
Quality81.8
Growth50.0
Value49.6
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
8% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value6% aboveest. fair value ~$263
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 12% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~16% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Oil & Gas Midstream · market cap $57.5b. 8% off the 52-week high of $300.89. Revenue growing +27% — in hypergrowth territory. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $310.57 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
Net margin 14% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 39% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 96% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
D/E 2.43 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $310.57 (21-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $454.71 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $674.53 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

LNG vs the Top Picks average

PillarLNGBook avgDiff
Quality8283in line
Growth5089-39
Value5076-26

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+20.8 over 80 daily scores
From 38.0 (Jun 22) → 58.8 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

LNG at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD58.8/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY81.8GROWTH50.0VALUE49.6Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~12% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$225$332FAIR-VALUE RANGE$278PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$263 · price $278 is 6% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$278LOW $186HIGH $301Trading at the 80th percentile of its 52-week range ($186–$301).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+22%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.1%
90-day change+6.6%
Forward EPS estimate$20.80

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect LNG to earn is materially higher (+6.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
7
Position size
$1,947
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$208.63
25% below $278.18
$ at risk if stopped
$486.81
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG): score, valuation & FAQ

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) is an Oil & Gas Midstream company that scores 58.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), while D/E (D) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, LNG sits about 6% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 12% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is LNG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LNG 58.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LNG score 58.8 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 81.8 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 49.6 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. LNG earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), and is held back by D/E (D) and PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so LNG is measured against Oil & Gas Midstream peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is LNG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $278.18, LNG sits about 6% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 12% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 21.0x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LNG?

D/E 2.43 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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