Bull Rankings model

DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT) stock analysis

Oil & Gas Midstream. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
DHT
DHT Holdings, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream
56.4Score
$24.64Oct 9 close$4.0B
1Y Target$23.35Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$29.48Compound horizon
10Y Target$37.81Long-dated conviction
FCF$36mTTM · 06/26
C-
FCF $36m — barely positive; fragile cash position · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev-12.8%FY YoY
D
Revenue -12.8% — meaningful contraction · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.33
B+
D/E 0.33 — below the Energy debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E8.4x
A-
P/E 8.4 — cheaper than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.19
B+
PEG 1.19 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 56.4
Quality75.4
Growth43.5
Value54.7
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
2% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value820% aboveest. fair value ~$3
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 58% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~-5% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Oil & Gas Midstream · market cap $4.0b. Trading near 52-week high of $25.07 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue -13% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $23.35 (implying -5% upside).
Moat
Net margin 59% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 39% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Revenue contracting -13% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $23.35 (6-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $29.48 at ~4% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $37.81 if the moat survives secular pressure.

DHT vs the Top Picks average

PillarDHTBook avgDiff
Quality7583-8
Growth4489-45
Value5576-21

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+23.1 over 80 daily scores
From 33.3 (Jun 22) → 56.4 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

DHT at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD56.4/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY75.4GROWTH43.5VALUE54.7Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~58% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$2.3–$3FAIR-VALUE RANGE$24.6PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$2.7 · price $24.6 is 820% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$24.6LOW $10.8HIGH $25.1Trading near its 52-week high ($10.8–$25.1).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+118%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+14.1%
90-day change+23.1%
Forward EPS estimate$2.50

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DHT to earn is materially higher (+23.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
81
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$18.48
25% below $24.64
$ at risk if stopped
$498.96
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT): score, valuation & FAQ

DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT) is an Oil & Gas Midstream company that scores 56.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+), while FCF (C-) and Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, DHT sits about 820% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 58% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is DHT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores DHT 56.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of DHT Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does DHT score 56.4 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 75.4 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 43.5 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. DHT earns its highest marks on P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by FCF (C-) and Rev (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so DHT is measured against Oil & Gas Midstream peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is DHT overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $24.64, DHT sits about 820% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 58% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at an 8.4x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in DHT?

Revenue contracting -13% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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