Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LEA analysis

Lear CorporationAuto Parts. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

LEA
Lear Corporation · Auto Parts
FCF$849mC+
Rev+3.5%C+
D/E0.66B+
P/E11.7xA-
PEG0.36A
62.3Score
$128.54$8.6B
1Y Target$150.50Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$190.00Compound horizon
10Y Target$243.67Long-dated conviction
FCF$849mTTM
C+
FCF $849m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+3.5%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +3.5% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.66
B+
D/E 0.66 — below the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E11.7x
A-
P/E 11.7 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.36
A
PEG 0.36 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 62.3
Quality62.3
Growth50.0
Value77.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
14% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value33% belowest. fair value ~$193
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-1% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability10% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC9.1% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Auto Parts · market cap $8.6b. 14% off the 52-week high of $150.33. PEG 0.36 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $150.50 (implying +17% upside).
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 153% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Net margin 2.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $150.50 (14-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $190.00 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $243.67 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

LEA vs the Top Picks average

PillarLEABook avgDiff
Quality0.620.84-0.22
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.780.78in line

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.4 over 45 daily scores
From 60.9 (Jun 22) → 62.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-2.3%
90-day change-1.7%
Forward EPS estimate$17.04

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect LEA to earn is drifting lower (-1.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,928
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$96.41
25% below $128.54
$ at risk if stopped
$482.02
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Lear Corporation (LEA): score, valuation & FAQ

Lear Corporation (LEA) is a Auto Parts company that scores 62.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A), P/E (A-) and D/E (B+). On valuation, LEA sits about 33% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is LEA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LEA 62.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A), P/E (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Lear Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LEA score 62.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LEA earns its highest marks on PEG (A), P/E (A-) and D/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is LEA overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $128.54, LEA sits about 33% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 11.7x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LEA?

Net margin 2.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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