Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

INTC analysis

Intel CorporationSemiconductors. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Semiconductors
INTC
Intel Corporation · Semiconductors
FCF$2.8bB
Rev+7.5%B
D/E0.49B
P/S8.6xC+
PEG1.36B
33.4Score
$97.52$491.9B
1Y Target$115.17Analyst consensus · 41 analysts
5Y Target$201.43Compound horizon
10Y Target$360.00Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.8bTTM
B
FCF $2.8b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+7.5%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +7.5% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.49
B
D/E 0.49 — near the Technology debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S8.6x
C+
P/S 8.6x — above the Technology median (≈75th pctile)
PEG1.36
B
PEG 1.36 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 33.4
Quality0.23
Growth0.43
Value0.38
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
31% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value1191% aboveest. fair value ~$8
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability11% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-0.0% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $491.9b. Down 31% from 52-week high of $142.35 — deep drawdown territory. 41 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $115.17 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
$491.9b market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate. Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -19.8%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.24 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $115.17 (41-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $201.43 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $360.00 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

INTC vs the Top Picks average

PillarINTCBook avgDiff
Quality0.230.83-0.61
Growth0.430.92-0.49
Value0.380.75-0.36

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+13.1 over 36 daily scores
From 20.3 (Jun 22) → 33.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
20
Position size
$1,950
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$73.14
25% below $97.52
$ at risk if stopped
$487.60
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Intel Corporation (INTC): score, valuation & FAQ

Intel Corporation (INTC) is a Semiconductors company that scores 33.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, INTC sits about 1191% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.

Is INTC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores INTC 33.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Intel Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does INTC score 33.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). INTC grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is INTC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $97.52, INTC sits about 1191% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in INTC?

Currently unprofitable (margin -19.8%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.24 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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