Bull Rankings model

Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) stock analysis

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
ICHR
Ichor Holdings, Ltd. · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
20.7Score
$59.91Oct 9 close$2.2B
1Y Target$94.13Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$164.63Compound horizon
10Y Target$294.22Long-dated conviction
FCF-$26mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$26m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+11.6%FY YoY
B
Revenue +11.6% — at or above S&P median · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.18
B
D/E 0.18 — near the Technology debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S*2.2x
A-
P/S 2.2x — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.25
A
PEG 0.25 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 20.7
Quality21.1
Growth58.1
Value7.2
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
47% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · market cap $2.2b. Down 47% from 52-week high of $113.58 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.25 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $94.13 (implying +57% upside).
Moat
Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$26m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -4.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 47% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $94.13 (8-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $164.63 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $294.22 — return distribution heavily skewed.

ICHR vs the Top Picks average

PillarICHRBook avgDiff
Quality2183-62
Growth5889-31
Value776-69

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-18.6 over 82 daily scores
From 39.3 (Jun 22) → 20.7 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

ICHR at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD20.7/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY21.1GROWTH58.1VALUE7.2
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+222%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100ICHR 20.7Ranks above 9% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$59.9LOW $14.1HIGH $114Trading at the 46th percentile of its 52-week range ($14.1–$114).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.5%
90-day change+21.8%
Forward EPS estimate$3.29

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ICHR to earn is materially higher (+21.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
33
Position size
$1,977
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$44.93
25% below $59.91
$ at risk if stopped
$494.26
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR): score, valuation & FAQ

Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) is a Semiconductor Equipment & Materials company that scores 20.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and P/S (A-), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is ICHR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ICHR 20.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and P/S (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ICHR score 20.7 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 58.1 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 7.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. ICHR earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and P/S (A-), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so ICHR is measured against Semiconductor Equipment & Materials peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is ICHR overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for ICHR — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in ICHR?

Free cash flow is negative (-$26m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -4.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 47% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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