Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ICHR analysis

Ichor Holdings, Ltd.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

ICHR
Ichor Holdings, Ltd. · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
FCF-$26mF
Rev+9.1%B
D/E0.18B+
P/S2.2xA-
PEG0.55A-
41.5Score
$60.20$2.3B
1Y Target$95.86Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$167.65Compound horizon
10Y Target$299.63Long-dated conviction
FCF-$26mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$26m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+9.1%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.18
B+
D/E 0.18 — below the Technology debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S2.2x
A-
P/S 2.2x — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.55
A-
PEG 0.55 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 41.5
Quality21.3
Growth51.6
Value65.0
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
47% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability9% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-1.9% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · market cap $2.3b. Down 47% from 52-week high of $113.58 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.55 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $95.86 (implying +59% upside).
Moat
Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$26m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -4.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 47% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $95.86 (7-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $167.65 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $299.63 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ICHR vs the Top Picks average

PillarICHRBook avgDiff
Quality0.210.84-0.63
Growth0.520.84-0.32
Value0.650.78-0.13

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.2 over 47 daily scores
From 39.3 (Jun 22) → 41.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+21.3%
90-day change+25.1%
Forward EPS estimate$3.27

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ICHR to earn is materially higher (+25.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
33
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$45.15
25% below $60.20
$ at risk if stopped
$496.65
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR): score, valuation & FAQ

Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) is a Semiconductor Equipment & Materials company that scores 41.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-), PEG (A-) and D/E (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is ICHR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ICHR 41.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/S (A-), PEG (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ICHR score 41.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ICHR earns its highest marks on P/S (A-), PEG (A-) and D/E (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ICHR overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for ICHR — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in ICHR?

Free cash flow is negative (-$26m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -4.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 47% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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