Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

HII analysis

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.Aerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Defense & Drones
HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. · Aerospace & Defense
FCF-$85mF
Rev+14.0%B+
D/E0.55B
P/S1.0xA-
PEG1.19B+
56.5Score
$324.18$12.8B
1Y Target$362.75Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$634.45Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,134Long-dated conviction
FCF-$85mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$85m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+14.0%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +14.0% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.55
B
D/E 0.55 — near the Industrials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S1.0x
A-
P/S 1.0x — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.19
B+
PEG 1.19 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 56.5
Quality0.55
Growth0.83
Value0.40
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
30% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability69% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC6.4% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $12.8b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $460.00 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +14%, comfortably above the S&P median. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $362.75 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$85m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $362.75 (12-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $634.45 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $1,134 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

HII vs the Top Picks average

PillarHIIBook avgDiff
Quality0.550.83-0.28
Growth0.830.91-0.08
Value0.400.75-0.35

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-6.8 over 32 daily scores
From 63.3 (Jun 22) → 56.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,945
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$243.13
25% below $324.18
$ at risk if stopped
$486.27
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII): score, valuation & FAQ

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 56.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is HII a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores HII 56.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/S (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does HII score 56.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). HII earns its highest marks on P/S (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is HII overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for HII — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in HII?

Free cash flow is negative (-$85m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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