Bull Rankings model

HEICO Corporation (HEI) stock analysis

Aerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
HEI
HEICO Corporation · Aerospace & Defense
68.2Score
$298.28Oct 9 close$41.7B
1Y Target$391.70Analyst consensus · 20 analysts
5Y Target$573.49Compound horizon
10Y Target$850.73Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.0bTTM · 07/26
C+
FCF $1.0b — respectable but not differentiating · Trailing twelve months to 07/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+16.3%FY YoY
B+
Revenue +16.3% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.45
B+
D/E 0.45 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E49.7x
C
P/E 49.7 — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG2.03
C
PEG 2.03 — expensive relative to growth rate

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 68.2
Quality82.7
Growth89.3
Value43.0
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
21% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value123% aboveest. fair value ~$134
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 32% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~16% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $41.7b. Down 21% from 52-week high of $376.86 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +16%, comfortably above the S&P median. 20 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $391.70 (implying +31% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 18% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 122% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Trailing P/E 50x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $391.70 (20-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $573.49 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $850.73 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

HEI vs the Top Picks average

PillarHEIBook avgDiff
Quality8383in line
Growth8989in line
Value4376-33

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+11.4 over 80 daily scores
From 56.8 (Jun 22) → 68.2 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

HEI at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD68.2/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY82.7GROWTH89.3VALUE43.0Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~32% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$115$168FAIR-VALUE RANGE$298PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$134 · price $298 is 123% above it.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100HEI 68.2Top 13% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$298LOW $256HIGH $377Trading at the 35th percentile of its 52-week range ($256–$377).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.4%
90-day change+4.9%
Forward EPS estimate$7.23

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect HEI to earn is drifting higher (+4.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,790
3.6% of portfolio
Stop price
$223.71
25% below $298.28
$ at risk if stopped
$447.42
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

HEICO Corporation (HEI): score, valuation & FAQ

HEICO Corporation (HEI) is an Aerospace & Defense company that scores 68.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and D/E (B+). On valuation, HEI sits about 123% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 32% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is HEI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores HEI 68.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of HEICO Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does HEI score 68.2 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 89.3 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 43.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. HEI earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and D/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so HEI is measured against Aerospace & Defense peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is HEI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $298.28, HEI sits about 123% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 32% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 49.7x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in HEI?

Trailing P/E 50x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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