Copper. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc. · Copper
57.1Score
$26.12Oct 9 close$11.6B
1Y Target$34.95Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$44.13Compound horizon
10Y Target$56.59Long-dated conviction
FCF$241mFY · 12/25C
FCF $241m — modest; watch for margin expansion · From the fiscal year ended 12/25 in SEC filings (OCF − CapEx) — this company files no quarterly cash-flow series, so a trailing-twelve-month figure can't be assembled.
Rev+9.4%FY YoYB
Revenue +9.4% — at or above S&P median · Latest fiscal year vs the prior one, from SEC filings — a trailing-twelve-month comparison couldn't be assembled from this company's filings.
D/E0.20B+
D/E 0.20 — below the Basic Materials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E15.3xB+
P/E 15.3 — below the Basic Materials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.42est.A
PEG 0.42 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 57.1
Quality74.9
Growth50.0
Value49.7
Why this score
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
19% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value315% aboveest. fair value ~$6
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 51% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~15% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability12% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC17.1% · A-return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Copper · market cap $11.6b. 19% off the 52-week high of $32.15. PEG 0.42 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $34.95 (implying +34% upside).
Moat
Net margin 26% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 17% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Beta 2.33 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Horizon
1-3 yr $34.95 (6-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $44.13 at ~11% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $56.59 if the moat survives secular pressure.
HBM vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
HBM
Book avg
Diff
Quality
75
83
-8
Growth
50
89
-39
Value
50
76
-26
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · HBM
Trend
-3.8 over 81 daily scores
From 60.9 (Jun 22) → 57.1 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
HBM at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+3.6%
90-day change
+14.2%
Forward EPS estimate
$2.00
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect HBM to earn is materially higher (+14.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · HBM
$
%
%
Shares to buy
76
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$19.59
25% below $26.12
$ at risk if stopped
$496.28
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM): score, valuation & FAQ
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) is a Copper company that scores 57.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). On valuation, HBM sits about 315% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 51% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is HBM a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores HBM 57.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Hudbay Minerals Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does HBM score 57.1 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 74.9 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 49.7 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. HBM earns its highest marks on PEG (A), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so HBM is measured against Copper peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is HBM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $26.12, HBM sits about 315% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 51% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 15.3x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in HBM?
Beta 2.33 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.