★HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc. · Copper
FCF$241mC
Rev+9.4%B
D/E0.29B
P/E12.3xA-
PEG1.38B
1Y Target$33.60Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$42.42Compound horizon
10Y Target$54.40Long-dated conviction
FCF$241mTTMCFCF $241m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+9.4%TTM YoYBRevenue +9.4% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.29BD/E 0.29 — near the Basic Materials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E12.3xA-P/E 12.3 — cheaper than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.38proxyBPEG 1.38 — acceptable premium for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 63
Quality0.75
Growth0.50
Value0.67
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range33% off the 12-month high vs DCF fair value263% aboveest. fair value ~$6
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability12% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC17.1% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Copper · market cap $9.6b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $32.15 — deep drawdown territory. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $33.60 (implying +56% upside).
Moat
Net margin 26% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 17% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.25 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Horizon
1-3 yr $33.60 (6-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $42.42 at ~14% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $54.40 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See
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Position sizing · HBM
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$16.18
25% below $21.58
$ at risk if stopped
$496.34
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM): score, valuation & FAQ
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) is a Copper company that scores 63 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-). On valuation, HBM sits about 263% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).
Is HBM a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores HBM 63 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Hudbay Minerals Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does HBM score 63 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). HBM earns its highest marks on P/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is HBM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $21.58, HBM sits about 263% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 12.3x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in HBM?
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.25 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.
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