Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

H analysis

Hyatt Hotels CorporationLodging. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Airlines & Travel
H
Hyatt Hotels Corporation · Lodging
FCF$252mC
Rev+5.8%C+
D/E1.24B
P/S2.2xC+
PEG1.09B+
48.8Score
$170.08$16.0B
1Y Target$196.22Analyst consensus · 23 analysts
5Y Target$343.19Compound horizon
10Y Target$613.34Long-dated conviction
FCF$252mTTM
C
FCF $252m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+5.8%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +5.8% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E1.24
B
D/E 1.24 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S2.2x
C+
P/S 2.2x — above the Consumer Cyclical median (≈75th pctile)
PEG1.09
B+
PEG 1.09 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 48.8
Quality0.51
Growth0.50
Value0.45
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Cyclical growth
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
18% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value248% aboveest. fair value ~$49
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~50% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Lodging · market cap $16.0b. 18% off the 52-week high of $206.86. 23 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $196.22 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Net margin 1.1% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 2% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $196.22 (23-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $343.19 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $613.34 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

H vs the Top Picks average

PillarHBook avgDiff
Quality0.510.83-0.32
Growth0.500.92-0.42
Value0.450.75-0.30

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.3 over 35 daily scores
From 47.5 (Jun 22) → 48.8 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,871
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$127.56
25% below $170.08
$ at risk if stopped
$467.72
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H): score, valuation & FAQ

Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) is a Lodging company that scores 48.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (B+). On valuation, H sits about 248% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 50% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is H a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores H 48.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Hyatt Hotels Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does H score 48.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). H earns its highest marks on PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is H overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $170.08, H sits about 248% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 50% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in H?

Net margin 1.1% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 2% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Travel & Leisure stocks by score

All Consumer Cyclical rankings →

Analyze another ticker →