Bull Rankings model

Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) stock analysis

Capital Markets. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
FUTU
Futu Holdings Limited · Capital Markets
67.9Financial strength
$113.71Oct 9 close$15.9B
1Y Target$160.85Analyst consensus · 18 analysts
5Y Target$203.07Compound horizon
10Y Target$260.43Long-dated conviction
Rev—
—
No revenue growth figure to show
P/E10.8x
B+
P/E 10.8 — below the Financial Services median (≈40th pctile)
ROE30.5%
A
ROE 30.5% — world-class capital efficiency
P/B3.18
C
P/B 3.18 — expensive; pricing in strong ROE
Yield2.4%
B
Yield 2.4% — modest income

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 67.9 / 100
Profitability100.0
Value (P/B)26.0
Income60.2

A peer-relative read for financials on profitability (ROE), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
44% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Capital Markets · market cap $15.9b. Down 44% from 52-week high of $202.53 — deep drawdown territory. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $160.85 (implying +41% upside).
Moat
Net margin 46% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 31% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Financial moat — scale of deposit base / underwriting franchise plus regulatory capital advantages. The largest players compound book value through cycles that erase smaller competitors.
Risk
Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Duration mismatch — the asset and liability books reprice on different schedules; a rapid move in rates either direction can compress net interest margin before management can reposition.
Horizon
1-3 yr $160.85 (18-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $203.07 at ~12% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $260.43 if the moat survives secular pressure.

Not enough history yet — the model records FUTU's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

FUTU at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · BANKPROFITABILITY100VALUE26COVERED INCOME6067.9/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-30%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$114LOW $80.5HIGH $203Trading at the 27th percentile of its 52-week range ($80.5–$203).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+1.7%
90-day change+2.8%
Forward EPS estimate$12.57

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FUTU to earn is drifting higher (+2.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
17
Position size
$1,933
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$85.28
25% below $113.71
$ at risk if stopped
$483.27
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU): score, valuation & FAQ

Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) is a Capital Markets company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are ROE (A) and P/E (B+).

Is FUTU a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades FUTU on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by ROE (A) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Futu Holdings Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade FUTU?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, FUTU isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on ROE (A) and P/E (B+).

Is FUTU overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for FUTU, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. FUTU is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in FUTU?

Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Duration mismatch — the asset and liability books reprice on different schedules; a rapid move in rates either direction can compress net interest margin before management can reposition.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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