Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

FRVO analysis

Fervo Energy CompanyUtilities - Renewable. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

FRVO
Fervo Energy Company · Utilities - Renewable
FCF
Rev-30.7%F
D/E0.11A
P/S
PEG
35.3Score
$15.47$4.6B
1Y Target$42.82Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$74.89Compound horizon
10Y Target$133.84Long-dated conviction
FCF
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev-30.7%FY YoY
F
Revenue -30.7% — severe decline · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.11
A
D/E 0.11 — least levered decile in Utilities (≈10th pctile)
P/S
P/S unavailable
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 35.3
Quality73.6
Growth15.0
Value40.0
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
64% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Utilities - Renewable · market cap $4.6b. Down 64% from 52-week high of $42.65 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -31% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $42.82 (implying +177% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Revenue contracting -31% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Down 64% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $42.82 (11-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $74.89 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $133.84 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

FRVO vs the Top Picks average

PillarFRVOBook avgDiff
Quality0.740.84-0.10
Growth0.150.87-0.72
Value0.400.76-0.36

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+12.0 over 48 daily scores
From 23.3 (Jun 22) → 35.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
129
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$11.60
25% below $15.47
$ at risk if stopped
$498.91
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Fervo Energy Company (FRVO): score, valuation & FAQ

Fervo Energy Company (FRVO) is a Utilities - Renewable company that scores 35.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while Rev (F) rate weaker.

Is FRVO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores FRVO 35.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Fervo Energy Company's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does FRVO score 35.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). FRVO earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by Rev (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is FRVO overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for FRVO — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in FRVO?

Revenue contracting -31% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Down 64% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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