Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

AEP analysis

American Electric Power Company, Inc.Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

AEP
American Electric Power Company, Inc. · Utilities - Regulated Electric
FCF$2.6bB
Rev+8.2%B
D/E1.61B
P/E22.2xC+
PEG2.18C
65.7Score
$128.32$69.9B
1Y Target$145.52Analyst consensus · 21 analysts
5Y Target$213.06Compound horizon
10Y Target$316.06Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.6bTTM
B
FCF $2.6b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+8.2%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +8.2% — at or above S&P median
D/E1.61
B
D/E 1.61 — near the Utilities debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E22.2x
C+
P/E 22.2 — above the Utilities median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.18
C
PEG 2.18 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 65.7
Quality0.60
Growth0.74
Value0.65
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
9% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value1% aboveest. fair value ~$127
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~6% a year for the next decade — vs the ~8% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC5.1% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $69.9b. 9% off the 52-week high of $140.58. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $145.52 (implying +13% upside).
Moat
Net margin 17% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. $69.9b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $145.52 (21-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $213.06 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $316.06 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

AEP vs the Top Picks average

PillarAEPBook avgDiff
Quality0.600.83-0.23
Growth0.740.91-0.17
Value0.650.75-0.10

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+6.4 over 34 daily scores
From 59.3 (Jun 22) → 65.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,925
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$96.24
25% below $128.32
$ at risk if stopped
$481.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP): score, valuation & FAQ

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 65.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, AEP sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly 6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is AEP a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores AEP 65.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of American Electric Power Company, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does AEP score 65.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AEP grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is AEP overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $128.32, AEP sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly 6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 22.2x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in AEP?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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