D/E 3.55 — most levered decile in Utilities (≈95th pctile)
P/E25.9xC
P/E 25.9 — expensive vs Utilities peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG0.47A
PEG 0.47 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 73.6
Quality0.64
Growth0.92
Value0.67
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
28% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value68% aboveest. fair value ~$94
Quality signals · context only
ROIC11.2% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · market cap $53.3b. Down 28% from 52-week high of $219.82 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.47 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $222.89 (implying +41% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 40% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $53.3b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
D/E 3.55 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $222.89 (18-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $281.39 at ~12% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $360.88 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · VST
$
%
%
Shares to buy
12
Position size
$1,896
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$118.48
25% below $157.98
$ at risk if stopped
$473.94
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Vistra Corp. (VST): score, valuation & FAQ
Vistra Corp. (VST) is a Utilities - Independent Power Producers company that scores 73.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and Rev (B+), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, VST sits about 68% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).
Is VST a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores VST 73.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Vistra Corp.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does VST score 73.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). VST earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and Rev (B+), and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is VST overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $157.98, VST sits about 68% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 25.9x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in VST?
D/E 3.55 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.