Bull Rankings model

WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) stock analysis

Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
WEC
WEC Energy Group, Inc. · Utilities - Regulated Electric
56.8Score
$103.74Oct 9 close$33.8B
1Y Target$120.26Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$176.08Compound horizon
10Y Target$261.20Long-dated conviction
FCF$877mTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $877m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+8.9%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +8.9% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.58
B
D/E 1.58 — near the Utilities debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E20.1x
B
P/E 20.1 — near the Utilities median (≈60th pctile)
PEG2.03
C
PEG 2.03 — expensive relative to growth rate

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 56.8
Quality57.5
Growth62.0
Value51.5
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
13% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value141% aboveest. fair value ~$43
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 28% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~7% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability13% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC4.9% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $33.8b. 13% off the 52-week high of $119.91. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $120.26 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
Net margin 17% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $120.26 (17-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $176.08 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $261.20 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

WEC vs the Top Picks average

PillarWECBook avgDiff
Quality5883-25
Growth6289-27
Value5176-25

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-5.7 over 79 daily scores
From 62.5 (Jun 22) → 56.8 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

WEC at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD56.8/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY57.5GROWTH62.0VALUE51.5Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~28% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$41.2–$45.8FAIR-VALUE RANGE$104PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$43 · price $104 is 141% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$104LOW $99.8HIGH $120Trading at the 20th percentile of its 52-week range ($99.8–$120).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-10%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change-0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$6.00

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect WEC to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
19
Position size
$1,971
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$77.80
25% below $103.74
$ at risk if stopped
$492.76
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC): score, valuation & FAQ

WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 56.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, WEC sits about 141% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 28% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is WEC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores WEC 56.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does WEC score 56.8 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 62.0 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 51.5 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. WEC grades middle-of-pack across the graded signals. Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so WEC is measured against Utilities - Regulated Electric peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is WEC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $103.74, WEC sits about 141% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 28% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 20.1x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in WEC?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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