FuelCell Energy, Inc. — Electrical Equipment & Parts. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
FCEL
FuelCell Energy, Inc. · Electrical Equipment & Parts
FCF-$120mF
Rev+41.0%A
D/E0.20A-
P/S9.2xD
PEG0.36A
51.5Score
$19.32$1.5B
1Y Target$22.83Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$39.94Compound horizon
10Y Target$71.37Long-dated conviction
FCF-$120mTTMF
FCF is negative (-$120m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+41.0%FY YoYA
Revenue +41.0% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.20A-
D/E 0.20 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/S9.2xD
P/S 9.2x — most expensive decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
PEG0.36A
PEG 0.36 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 51.5
Quality22.1
Growth88.0
Value70.1
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
49% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability-3% · Fgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-22.4% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
FuelCell’s 41% FY revenue growth is powered by booming demand for its high‑temperature carbonate fuel cells in on‑site power and micro‑grid projects, and the PEG ratio of 0.36 signals that the market is severely under‑pricing that growth. With a lean debt‑to‑equity of 0.2, the balance sheet can fund rapid roll‑out of its Tri‑gen zero‑carbon hydrogen systems, making the compounding engine sustainable. The thesis hinges on the continued capture of distributed clean‑energy contracts, which should keep revenue expanding at double‑digit rates.
Moat
FCEL’s moat lies in its proprietary carbonate fuel cell platform that delivers both electricity and hydrogen in a single unit, creating a high switching cost for utilities and industrial customers that have already invested in the integrated system. The technology’s ability to capture carbon and produce zero‑carbon hydrogen gives it a unique value proposition that cannot be quickly replicated by conventional turbine or electrolyzer vendors.
Risk
The biggest headwind is the company’s negative free cash flow of -$120 m and a dismal ROE of -30.9%, indicating that profitability is still far off and any slowdown in project pipelines could exhaust cash reserves. A high beta of 2.39 amplifies downside risk if the clean‑energy rollout stalls, and a breach of the 52‑week low ($3.81) would signal loss of market confidence. A sustained cash‑burn without new contract wins would confirm the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $22.83 (6-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $39.94 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $71.37 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
FCEL vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
FCEL
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.22
0.83
-0.61
Growth
0.88
0.87
in line
Value
0.70
0.76
-0.06
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · FCEL
Trend
-0.7 over 48 daily scores
From 52.2 (Jun 22) → 51.5 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
FCEL at a glance
Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.
Position sizing · FCEL
$
%
%
Shares to buy
103
Position size
$1,990
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$14.49
25% below $19.32
$ at risk if stopped
$497.49
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
FuelCell Energy, Inc. (FCEL): score, valuation & FAQ
FuelCell Energy, Inc. (FCEL) is a Electrical Equipment & Parts company that scores 51.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-), while P/S (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.
Is FCEL a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores FCEL 51.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does FCEL score 51.5 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on growth at 88.0 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 22.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. FCEL earns its highest marks on Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-), and is held back by P/S (D) and FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so FCEL is measured against Electrical Equipment & Parts peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is FCEL overvalued or undervalued?
We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for FCEL — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.
What are the main risks of investing in FCEL?
The biggest headwind is the company’s negative free cash flow of -$120 m and a dismal ROE of -30.9%, indicating that profitability is still far off and any slowdown in project pipelines could exhaust cash reserves. A high beta of 2.39 amplifies downside risk if the clean‑energy rollout stalls, and a breach of the 52‑week low ($3.81) would signal loss of market confidence. A sustained cash‑burn without new contract wins would confirm the bear case.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.