Diamondback Energy, Inc. — Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc. · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF$3.7bB
Rev+21.4%A-
D/E0.29A-
P/E38.1xC
PEG20.62D
36.8Score
$200.52$56.1B
1Y Target$232.54Analyst consensus · 28 analysts
5Y Target$340.46Compound horizon
10Y Target$505.04Long-dated conviction
FCF$3.7bTTM · 06/26B
FCF $3.7b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+21.4%TTM YoYA-
Revenue +21.4% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.29A-
D/E 0.29 — less debt than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E38.1xC
P/E 38.1 — expensive vs Energy peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG20.62D
PEG 20.62 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 36.8
Quality59.9
Growth50.0
Value16.7
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
8% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value25% aboveest. fair value ~$160
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~4% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC1.7% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Diamondback’s unrivaled position in the Permian’s Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations fuels a compounding revenue engine, as evidenced by 21.4% YoY revenue growth, a robust $3.7B free cash flow run‑rate, and a low‑beta balance sheet with 0.29 debt‑to‑equity. The Bull Rankings model awards a Quality score of 36.8/100, with Quality as the strongest pillar, confirming that the company’s operational discipline and cash generation are superior to peers. The thesis hinges on the continuation of this high‑margin growth in the Permian, which will keep the free‑cash‑flow trajectory ahead of the modest 4% implied by our reverse‑DCF.
Moat
Diamondback’s moat derives from its deep, low‑cost acreage in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays, where it can drill at cost‑structures that outpace competitors, translating into an 8.6% profit margin and a ROE of 3.9% driven by disciplined capital allocation. Its on‑shore, unconventional focus limits exposure to offshore regulatory risk and creates high switching costs for partners seeking similar low‑cost supply, cementing a durable cost advantage.
Risk
The bear case centers on the elevated valuation: a forward P/E of 38.1 vastly exceeds the sector average, and the model’s weakest pillar—Value at 17—signals that the market may be overpaying for growth that could stall if oil prices dip or Permian drilling productivity wanes. A sustained price decline toward the 52‑week low of $134.3 would confirm that the premium is unjustified and could trigger a sell‑off.
Horizon
1-3 yr $232.54 (28-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $340.46 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $505.04 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
FANG vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
FANG
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.60
0.83
-0.24
Growth
0.50
0.87
-0.37
Value
0.17
0.76
-0.60
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · FANG
Trend
+15.7 over 51 daily scores
From 21.1 (Jun 22) → 36.8 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
FANG at a glance
Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+5.6%
90-day change
+3.6%
Forward EPS estimate
$18.12
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FANG to earn is drifting higher (+3.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →
Position sizing · FANG
$
%
%
Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,805
3.6% of portfolio
Stop price
$150.39
25% below $200.52
$ at risk if stopped
$451.17
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG): score, valuation & FAQ
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 36.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-) and D/E (A-), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, FANG sits about 25% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is FANG a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores FANG 36.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A-) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Diamondback Energy, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does FANG score 36.8 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 59.9 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 16.7 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. FANG earns its highest marks on Rev (A-) and D/E (A-), and is held back by PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so FANG is measured against Oil & Gas E&P peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is FANG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $200.52, FANG sits about 25% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 38.1x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in FANG?
The bear case centers on the elevated valuation: a forward P/E of 38.1 vastly exceeds the sector average, and the model’s weakest pillar—Value at 17—signals that the market may be overpaying for growth that could stall if oil prices dip or Permian drilling productivity wanes. A sustained price decline toward the 52‑week low of $134.3 would confirm that the premium is unjustified and could trigger a sell‑off.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.