Emerson Electric Co. · Specialty Industrial Machinery
FCF$3.1bB
Rev+4.0%C+
D/E0.69B
P/E35.4xC+
PEG2.09C
49.6Score
$157.93$88.5B
1Y Target$163.48Analyst consensus · 27 analysts
5Y Target$239.35Compound horizon
10Y Target$355.06Long-dated conviction
FCF$3.1bTTMB
FCF $3.1b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+4.0%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +4.0% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.69B
D/E 0.69 — near the Industrials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E35.4xC+
P/E 35.4 — above the Industrials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.09C
PEG 2.09 — expensive relative to growth rate
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 49.6
Quality0.71
Growth0.66
Value0.26
Why this score
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
4% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value94% aboveest. fair value ~$81
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~24% a year for the next decade — vs the ~10% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability23% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Why now
Specialty Industrial Machinery · market cap $88.5b. 4% off the 52-week high of $165.15. 27 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $163.48 (implying +4% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 127% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $163.48 (27-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $239.35 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $355.06 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
EMR vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
EMR
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.71
0.83
-0.12
Growth
0.66
0.91
-0.25
Value
0.26
0.75
-0.49
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · EMR
Trend
+0.6 over 34 daily scores
From 49.0 (Jun 22) → 49.6 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · EMR
$
%
%
Shares to buy
12
Position size
$1,895
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$118.44
25% below $157.93
$ at risk if stopped
$473.78
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Emerson Electric Co. (EMR): score, valuation & FAQ
Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) is a Specialty Industrial Machinery company that scores 49.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
On valuation, EMR sits about 94% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 24% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is EMR a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores EMR 49.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Emerson Electric Co.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does EMR score 49.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). EMR grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is EMR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $157.93, EMR sits about 94% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 24% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 35.4x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in EMR?
Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.