DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. — Specialty Retail. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
DKS
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. · Specialty Retail
FCF$403mC
Rev+41.2%A
D/E1.39C+
P/E13.7xA-
PEG1.24B
67.7Score
$129.66$11.6B
1Y Target$249.91Analyst consensus · 22 analysts
5Y Target$365.89Compound horizon
10Y Target$542.78Long-dated conviction
FCF$403mTTMC
FCF $403m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+41.2%TTM YoYA
Revenue +41.2% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E1.39C+
D/E 1.39 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E13.7xA-
P/E 13.7 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.24B
PEG 1.24 — acceptable premium for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 67.7
Quality67.9
Growth94.6
Value48.3
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
47% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value73% aboveest. fair value ~$75
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~24% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC16.6% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
DICK'S Sporting Goods is a compelling growth story, leveraging its omni-channel strategy and diverse specialty concept stores, including DICK'S House of Sport and Golf Galaxy, to dominate the sporting goods and fitness equipment markets. Our model's exceptional Growth pillar score of 95 underpins this thesis, supported by a remarkable 41.2% FY YoY revenue growth. With a low PEG ratio of 0.86, the market is significantly underpricing DKS's compounding potential, which rests on its ability to sustain sales momentum by expanding unique retail formats and deepening customer engagement across its broad product offerings.
Moat
DKS secures its durable edge through an expansive omni-channel retail ecosystem, integrating traditional Sporting Goods stores with specialized formats like Public Lands and Moosejaw, creating tailored experiences for distinct customer segments. This broad distribution network and curated offerings across hardlines, apparel, and footwear establish high barriers to entry, difficult for competitors to replicate quickly. Our model's "Durable high returns" signal is evident in the company's 16.1% ROE, reflecting efficient capital deployment and a sustained ability to generate profits from its diversified retail presence.
Risk
Skeptics highlight DKS's valuation and debt burden, fearing potential market saturation in specialty retail, particularly if consumer demand for fitness equipment and golf equipment softens. Our model's weakest pillar, Value at 56, suggests the current 14.5 P/E (TTM) is rich given a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.39, implying substantial optimism is already priced in. Furthermore, the Bull Rankings model's "Diluting shareholders" caution signal, coupled with a reverse DCF implying an aggressive ~24%/yr free-cash-flow growth sustained for 10 years, makes the stock vulnerable to any deceleration from its impressive revenue growth. A sustained contraction in the 4.7% profit margin would confirm the bear case, signaling a loss of pricing power or increased operational costs.
Horizon
1-3 yr $249.91 (22-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $365.89 at ~23% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $542.78 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
DKS vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
DKS
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.68
0.83
-0.16
Growth
0.95
0.87
+0.08
Value
0.48
0.76
-0.28
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · DKS
Trend
+14.7 over 51 daily scores
From 53.0 (Jun 22) → 67.7 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
DKS at a glance
Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-15.0%
90-day change
-14.8%
Forward EPS estimate
$13.88
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DKS to earn is materially lower (-14.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →
Position sizing · DKS
$
%
%
Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,945
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$97.25
25% below $129.66
$ at risk if stopped
$486.22
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS): score, valuation & FAQ
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) is a Specialty Retail company that scores 67.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and P/E (A-). On valuation, DKS sits about 73% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 24% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is DKS a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores DKS 67.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does DKS score 67.7 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on growth at 94.6 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 48.3 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. DKS earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and P/E (A-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so DKS is measured against Specialty Retail peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is DKS overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $129.66, DKS sits about 73% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 24% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 13.7x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in DKS?
Skeptics highlight DKS's valuation and debt burden, fearing potential market saturation in specialty retail, particularly if consumer demand for fitness equipment and golf equipment softens. Our model's weakest pillar, Value at 56, suggests the current 14.5 P/E (TTM) is rich given a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.39, implying substantial optimism is already priced in. Furthermore, the Bull Rankings model's "Diluting shareholders" caution signal, coupled with a reverse DCF implying an aggressive ~24%/yr free-cash-flow growth sustained for 10 years, makes the stock vulnerable to any deceleration from its impressive revenue growth. A sustained contraction in the 4.7% profit margin would confirm the bear case, signaling a loss of pricing power or increased operational costs.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.