Core Natural Resources, Inc. — Thermal Coal. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
CNR
Core Natural Resources, Inc. · Thermal Coal
FCF$242mC
Rev+60.6%A
D/E0.12A
P/S1.0xA-
PEG——
47.8Score
$80.25$4.0B
1Y Target$105.25Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$184.08Compound horizon
10Y Target$328.99Long-dated conviction
FCF$242mTTMC
FCF $242m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+60.6%TTM YoYA
Revenue +60.6% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.12A
D/E 0.12 — least levered decile in Energy (≈10th pctile)
P/S1.0xA-
P/S 1.0x — cheaper than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG——
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 47.8
Quality0.43
Growth0.50
Value0.50
Why this score
Buying back stock
Cut its dividend
Cyclical growth
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
30% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value29% belowest. fair value ~$113
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~6% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC-1.9% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Thermal Coal · market cap $4.0b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $114.80 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +61% — in hypergrowth territory. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $105.25 (implying +31% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -1.5%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -2% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $105.25 (4-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $184.08 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $328.99 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
CNR vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
CNR
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.43
0.83
-0.39
Growth
0.50
0.91
-0.41
Value
0.50
0.75
-0.24
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · CNR
Trend
-1.3 over 34 daily scores
From 49.1 (Jun 22) → 47.8 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · CNR
$
%
%
Shares to buy
24
Position size
$1,926
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$60.19
25% below $80.25
$ at risk if stopped
$481.50
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR): score, valuation & FAQ
Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) is a Thermal Coal company that scores 47.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A) and P/S (A-). On valuation, CNR sits about 29% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is CNR a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores CNR 47.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A) and P/S (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Core Natural Resources, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does CNR score 47.8 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CNR earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A) and P/S (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is CNR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $80.25, CNR sits about 29% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in CNR?
Currently unprofitable (margin -1.5%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -2% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.