Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CCJ analysis

Cameco CorporationUranium. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Nuclear & Uranium
CCJ
Cameco Corporation · Uranium
FCF$656mC+
Rev+11.0%B
D/E0.17A
P/E157.7xD
PEG1.92C+
45.6Score
$94.61$41.2B
1Y Target$133.25Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$195.09Compound horizon
10Y Target$289.41Long-dated conviction
FCF$656mTTM · 03/26
C+
FCF $656m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+11.0%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +11.0% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.17
A
D/E 0.17 — least levered decile in Energy (≈10th pctile)
P/E157.7x
D
P/E 157.7 — most expensive decile in Energy (≈95th pctile)
PEG1.92
C+
PEG 1.92 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 45.6
Quality0.66
Growth0.50
Value0.33
Why this score
  • Cyclical growth
  • Foreign reporter (CAD)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
30% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value166% aboveest. fair value ~$36
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~41% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability9% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC6.2% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Uranium · market cap $41.2b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $135.24 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $133.25 (implying +41% upside).
Moat
Net margin 17% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Trailing P/E 157.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. P/S 16.7x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $133.25 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $195.09 at ~16% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $289.41 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CCJ vs the Top Picks average

PillarCCJBook avgDiff
Quality0.660.83-0.16
Growth0.500.91-0.41
Value0.330.75-0.41

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-3.2 over 32 daily scores
From 48.8 (Jun 22) → 45.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
21
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$70.96
25% below $94.61
$ at risk if stopped
$496.70
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Cameco Corporation (CCJ): score, valuation & FAQ

Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is a Uranium company that scores 45.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while P/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, CCJ sits about 166% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 41% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is CCJ a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CCJ 45.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Cameco Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CCJ score 45.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CCJ earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by P/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CCJ overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $94.61, CCJ sits about 166% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 41% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 157.7x× P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CCJ?

Trailing P/E 157.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. P/S 16.7x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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