FCF $3.2b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+5.2%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +5.2% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E2.02C+
D/E 2.02 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E12.5xA-
P/E 12.5 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.00B+
PEG 1.00 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 54.4
Quality0.57
Growth0.50
Value0.57
Why this score
Diluting shareholders
Cut its dividend
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
18% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value2% aboveest. fair value ~$27
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~12% a year for the next decade — vs the ~18% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability22% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC9.3% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Travel Services · market cap $38.0b. 18% off the 52-week high of $34.03. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $35.55 (implying +28% upside).
Moat
ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 104% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.02 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Beta 2.34 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $35.55 (25-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $44.88 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $57.56 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
CCL vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
CCL
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.57
0.83
-0.27
Growth
0.50
0.92
-0.42
Value
0.57
0.75
-0.18
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · CCL
Trend
+1.9 over 37 daily scores
From 52.5 (Jun 22) → 54.4 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · CCL
$
%
%
Shares to buy
72
Position size
$1,998
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$20.81
25% below $27.75
$ at risk if stopped
$499.50
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) is a Travel Services company that scores 54.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, CCL sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly 12% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is CCL a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores CCL 54.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Carnival Corporation Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does CCL score 54.4 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CCL earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is CCL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $27.75, CCL sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly 12% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 12.5x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in CCL?
D/E 2.02 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Beta 2.34 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.