Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

BWXT analysis

BWX Technologies, Inc.Aerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Nuclear & Uranium
BWXT
BWX Technologies, Inc. · Aerospace & Defense
FCF$328mC
Rev+21.4%A-
D/E1.58C
P/E47.2xC
PEG1.67C+
56.4Score
$176.95$16.2B
1Y Target$238.16Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$348.69Compound horizon
10Y Target$517.26Long-dated conviction
FCF$328mTTM
C
FCF $328m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+21.4%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +21.4% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E1.58
C
D/E 1.58 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E47.2x
C
P/E 47.2 — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.67
C+
PEG 1.67 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 56.4
Quality0.65
Growth0.93
Value0.30
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
27% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value131% aboveest. fair value ~$77
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~28% a year for the next decade — vs the ~10% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC9.9% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $16.2b. Down 27% from 52-week high of $241.82 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +21%, comfortably above the S&P median. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $238.16 (implying +35% upside).
Moat
ROE 27% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 95% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 47x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $238.16 (14-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $348.69 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $517.26 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

BWXT vs the Top Picks average

PillarBWXTBook avgDiff
Quality0.650.83-0.18
Growth0.930.91in line
Value0.300.75-0.45

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.4 over 34 daily scores
From 54.0 (Jun 22) → 56.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,946
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$132.71
25% below $176.95
$ at risk if stopped
$486.61
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT): score, valuation & FAQ

BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 56.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-). On valuation, BWXT sits about 131% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 28% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is BWXT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BWXT 56.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of BWX Technologies, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BWXT score 56.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BWXT earns its highest marks on Rev (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is BWXT overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $176.95, BWXT sits about 131% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 28% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 47.2x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in BWXT?

Trailing P/E 47x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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