Bull Rankings model

BKV Corporation (BKV) stock analysis

Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
BKV
BKV Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
53.2Score
$24.24Oct 9 close$2.7B
1Y Target$34.09Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$59.63Compound horizon
10Y Target$106.56Long-dated conviction
FCF-$18mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$18m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+41.6%FY YoY
A
Revenue +41.6% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.53
B
D/E 0.53 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S*2.5x
B
P/S 2.5x — near the Energy median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.57est.
A-
PEG 0.57 — strong; the growth comes cheap · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 53.2
Quality47.2
Growth50.0
Value64.0
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
26% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
ROIC10.6% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $2.7b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $32.81 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +42% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.57 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $34.09 (implying +41% upside).
Moat
Net margin 25% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$18m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Horizon
1-3 yr $34.09 (11-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $59.63 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $106.56 — return distribution heavily skewed.

BKV vs the Top Picks average

PillarBKVBook avgDiff
Quality4783-36
Growth5089-39
Value6476-12

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
0.0 over 82 daily scores
From 53.2 (Jun 22) → 53.2 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

BKV at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD53.2/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY47.2GROWTH50.0VALUE64.0
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+17%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$24.2LOW $20.1HIGH $32.8Trading at the 33rd percentile of its 52-week range ($20.1–$32.8).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100BKV 53.2Top 41% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+5.0%
90-day change-16.7%
Forward EPS estimate$1.93

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect BKV to earn is materially lower (-16.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
82
Position size
$1,988
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$18.18
25% below $24.24
$ at risk if stopped
$496.92
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

BKV Corporation (BKV): score, valuation & FAQ

BKV Corporation (BKV) is an Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 53.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (A-), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is BKV a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BKV 53.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of BKV Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BKV score 53.2 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 64.0 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 47.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. BKV earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (A-), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so BKV is measured against Oil & Gas E&P peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is BKV overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for BKV — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in BKV?

Free cash flow is negative (-$18m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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