Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

BA analysis

The Boeing CompanyAerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Defense & Drones
BA
The Boeing Company · Aerospace & Defense
FCF-$210mF
Rev+24.8%A-
D/E7.91D
P/S1.8xB+
PEG89.29D
26.9Score
$214.20$169.3B
1Y Target$274.85Analyst consensus · 26 analysts
5Y Target$480.71Compound horizon
10Y Target$859.12Long-dated conviction
FCF-$210mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$210m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+24.8%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +24.8% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E7.91
D
D/E 7.91 — most levered decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
P/S1.8x
B+
P/S 1.8x — below the Industrials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG89.29
D
PEG 89.29 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 26.9
Quality44.4
Growth87.8
Value3.4
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
16% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability3% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC7.0% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Boeing’s Commercial Airplanes backlog is exploding, driving a 24.8% FY revenue growth that fuels a compounding earnings engine, while an industry‑leading ROE of 39.9% shows the business can turn that growth into outsized returns; the consensus 1‑yr target of $274.85 already prices in a near‑term lift, but the real catalyst is sustained demand for high‑margin wide‑body jets that will keep the growth curve steep. The thesis rests on the durability of that jet demand and Boeing’s ability to capture it.
Moat
Boeing’s moat lives in its integrated Commercial Airplanes and Defense, Space & Security segments, where long‑term airline and government contracts create massive switching costs and a captive customer base; the company’s pricing power in the wide‑body jet market, reflected in a 39.9% ROE, stems from a unique blend of engineering depth and after‑market services that rivals cannot replicate quickly.
Risk
The bear case centers on execution risk and a strained balance sheet: a sky‑high P/E of 79.6 and a debt‑to‑equity of 7.91 signal leverage fatigue, while negative free cash flow of -$210 m raises doubts about cash generation; a missed delivery schedule or a slowdown in defense spending would push the stock back toward its 52‑week low of $176.77 and invalidate the growth narrative. Confirmation would be a widening of the cash‑flow gap or a downgrade of the 1‑yr consensus target.
Horizon
1-3 yr $274.85 (26-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $480.71 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $859.12 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

BA vs the Top Picks average

PillarBABook avgDiff
Quality0.440.84-0.39
Growth0.880.84+0.04
Value0.030.78-0.75

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+0.2 over 47 daily scores
From 26.7 (Jun 22) → 26.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.4%
90-day change-1.5%
Forward EPS estimate$4.12

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect BA to earn is drifting lower (-1.5%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,928
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$160.65
25% below $214.20
$ at risk if stopped
$481.95
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Latest BA developments

Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.

The Boeing Company (BA): score, valuation & FAQ

The Boeing Company (BA) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 26.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-) and P/S (B+), while PEG (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is BA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BA 26.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A-) and P/S (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of The Boeing Company's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BA score 26.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BA earns its highest marks on Rev (A-) and P/S (B+), and is held back by PEG (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is BA overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for BA — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in BA?

The bear case centers on execution risk and a strained balance sheet: a sky‑high P/E of 79.6 and a debt‑to‑equity of 7.91 signal leverage fatigue, while negative free cash flow of -$210 m raises doubts about cash generation; a missed delivery schedule or a slowdown in defense spending would push the stock back toward its 52‑week low of $176.77 and invalidate the growth narrative. Confirmation would be a widening of the cash‑flow gap or a downgrade of the 1‑yr consensus target.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

More Aerospace & Defense stocks by score

All Industrials rankings →

Analyze another ticker →