Aura Minerals Inc. — Gold. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
AUGO
Aura Minerals Inc. · Gold
FCF$138mC
Rev+55.1%A
D/E1.43D
P/E58.0xD
PEG1.03B+
57.6Score
$62.61$5.2B
1Y Target$105.54Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$154.53Compound horizon
10Y Target$229.23Long-dated conviction
FCF$138mTTM · 03/26C
FCF $138m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+55.1%FY YoYA
Revenue +55.1% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.43D
D/E 1.43 — most levered decile in Basic Materials (≈95th pctile)
P/E58.0xD
P/E 58.0 — most expensive decile in Basic Materials (≈95th pctile)
PEG1.03proxyB+
PEG 1.03 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0) · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 57.6
Quality0.67
Growth0.50
Value0.57
Why this score
Cyclical growth
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
43% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value61% aboveest. fair value ~$39
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~27% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Gold · market cap $5.2b. Down 43% from 52-week high of $110.32 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +55% — in hypergrowth territory. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $105.54 (implying +69% upside).
Moat
ROE 40% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 155% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Trailing P/E 58.0x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 43% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Horizon
1-3 yr $105.54 (9-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $154.53 at ~20% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $229.23 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · AUGO
Trend
+16.4 over 15 daily scores
From 41.2 (Jun 22) → 57.6 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · AUGO
$
%
%
Shares to buy
31
Position size
$1,941
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$46.96
25% below $62.61
$ at risk if stopped
$485.23
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO): score, valuation & FAQ
Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) is a Gold company that scores 57.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (B+), while D/E (D) and P/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, AUGO sits about 61% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 27% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is AUGO a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores AUGO 57.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Aura Minerals Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does AUGO score 57.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AUGO earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (B+), and is held back by D/E (D) and P/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is AUGO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $62.61, AUGO sits about 61% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 27% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 58.0x× P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in AUGO?
Trailing P/E 58.0x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 43% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.