Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. — Specialty Retail. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. · Specialty Retail
FCF$237mC
Rev+2.0%C
D/E0.92B
P/E7.9xA
PEG0.58A-
65.2Score
$45.48$2.8B
1Y Target$60.05Analyst consensus · 19 analysts
5Y Target$75.82Compound horizon
10Y Target$97.23Long-dated conviction
FCF$237mTTMC
FCF $237m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+2.0%TTM YoYC
Revenue +2.0% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.92B
D/E 0.92 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E7.9xA
P/E 7.9 — cheapest decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.58A-
PEG 0.58 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 65.2
Quality0.73
Growth0.51
Value0.75
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
27% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value25% belowest. fair value ~$61
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability39% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC15.7% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Specialty Retail · market cap $2.8b. Down 27% from 52-week high of $62.45 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.58 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $60.05 (implying +32% upside).
Moat
ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $60.05 (19-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $75.82 at ~11% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $97.23 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · ASO
$
%
%
Shares to buy
43
Position size
$1,956
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$34.11
25% below $45.48
$ at risk if stopped
$488.91
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO): score, valuation & FAQ
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) is a Specialty Retail company that scores 65.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A) and PEG (A-). On valuation, ASO sits about 25% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is ASO a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores ASO 65.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does ASO score 65.2 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ASO earns its highest marks on P/E (A) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is ASO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $45.48, ASO sits about 25% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 7.9x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in ASO?
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.