Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ZM analysis

Zoom Communications, Inc.Software - Application. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Cloud & SaaS
ZM
Zoom Communications, Inc. · Software - Application
FCF$2.0bC+
Rev+5.0%C+
D/E0.01A
P/E15.8xA-
PEG4.21D
56.1Score
$107.20$31.4B
1Y Target$115.00Analyst consensus · 26 analysts
5Y Target$168.37Compound horizon
10Y Target$249.77Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.0bTTM
C+
FCF $2.0b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+5.0%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +5.0% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.01
A
D/E 0.01 — least levered decile in Technology (≈10th pctile)
P/E15.8x
A-
P/E 15.8 — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG4.21
D
PEG 4.21 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 56.1
Quality0.81
Growth0.46
Value0.47
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
7% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value11% aboveest. fair value ~$97
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~6% a year for the next decade — vs the ~4% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability31% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC9.4% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Software - Application · market cap $31.4b. 7% off the 52-week high of $114.74. 26 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $115.00 (implying +7% upside).
Moat
Net margin 42% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 21% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Software economics — recurring revenue, embedded customer workflows, and high gross margin all compound the moat once a base account is won. Switching costs are the lever.
Risk
Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.
Horizon
1-3 yr $115.00 (26-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $168.37 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $249.77 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ZM vs the Top Picks average

PillarZMBook avgDiff
Quality0.810.83-0.03
Growth0.460.92-0.46
Value0.470.75-0.27

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-1.6 over 37 daily scores
From 57.7 (Jun 22) → 56.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,930
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$80.40
25% below $107.20
$ at risk if stopped
$482.40
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM): score, valuation & FAQ

Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM) is a Software - Application company that scores 56.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A) and P/E (A-), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, ZM sits about 11% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ZM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ZM 56.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Zoom Communications, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ZM score 56.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ZM earns its highest marks on D/E (A) and P/E (A-), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ZM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $107.20, ZM sits about 11% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 15.8x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ZM?

Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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