Waste Management, Inc. — Waste Management. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
WM
Waste Management, Inc. · Waste Management
FCF$3.6bB
Rev+7.2%B
D/E2.35D
P/E59.2xC
PEG2.31C
53Score
$224.31$89.7B
1Y Target$260.64Analyst consensus · 25 analysts
5Y Target$381.60Compound horizon
10Y Target$566.08Long-dated conviction
FCF$3.6bTTMB
FCF $3.6b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+7.2%TTM YoYB
Revenue +7.2% — at or above S&P median
D/E2.35D
D/E 2.35 — most levered decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
P/E59.2xC
P/E 59.2 — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG2.31C
PEG 2.31 — expensive relative to growth rate
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 53
Quality0.80
Growth0.65
Value0.29
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
10% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value38% aboveest. fair value ~$162
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~16% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability23% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC32.4% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Waste Management · market cap $89.7b. 10% off the 52-week high of $248.13. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $260.64 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
ROE 29% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 125% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $89.7b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
D/E 2.35 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 59.2x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating.
Horizon
1-3 yr $260.64 (25-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $381.60 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $566.08 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
WM vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
WM
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.80
0.84
-0.04
Growth
0.65
0.92
-0.26
Value
0.29
0.75
-0.46
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · WM
Trend
-9.5 over 36 daily scores
From 62.5 (Jun 22) → 53.0 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · WM
$
%
%
Shares to buy
8
Position size
$1,794
3.6% of portfolio
Stop price
$168.23
25% below $224.31
$ at risk if stopped
$448.62
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Waste Management, Inc. (WM): score, valuation & FAQ
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) is a Waste Management company that scores 53 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
The model flags D/E (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, WM sits about 38% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is WM a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores WM 53 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Waste Management, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does WM score 53 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). WM grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is WM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $224.31, WM sits about 38% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 59.2x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in WM?
D/E 2.35 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 59.2x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.