Waste Management. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
RSG
Republic Services, Inc. · Waste Management
42.6Score
$216.88Oct 9 close$66.4B
1Y Target$244.63Analyst consensus · 24 analysts
5Y Target$358.16Compound horizon
10Y Target$531.30Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.7bTTM · 06/26B
FCF $2.7b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+3.2%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +3.2% — steady but below market-beating range · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.19C
D/E 1.19 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E30.8xC+
P/E 30.8 — above the Industrials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.79C
PEG 2.79 — expensive relative to growth rate
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 42.6
Quality69.5
Growth50.5
Value22.0
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
7% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value48% aboveest. fair value ~$146
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~10% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability20% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC10.3% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Waste Management · market cap $66.4b. 7% off the 52-week high of $233.42. 24 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $244.63 (implying +13% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 18% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 121% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Trailing P/E 31x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $244.63 (24-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $358.16 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $531.30 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
RSG vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
RSG
Book avg
Diff
Quality
69
83
-14
Growth
50
89
-39
Value
22
76
-54
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · RSG
Trend
-10.9 over 80 daily scores
From 53.5 (Jun 22) → 42.6 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
RSG at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.0%
90-day change
+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate
$8.06
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect RSG to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · RSG
$
%
%
Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,952
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$162.66
25% below $216.88
$ at risk if stopped
$487.98
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG): score, valuation & FAQ
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) is a Waste Management company that scores 42.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
On valuation, RSG sits about 48% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is RSG a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores RSG 42.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Republic Services, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does RSG score 42.6 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 69.5 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 22.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. RSG grades middle-of-pack across the graded signals. Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so RSG is measured against Waste Management peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is RSG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $216.88, RSG sits about 48% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 30.8x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in RSG?
Trailing P/E 31x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.