1Y Target$31.11Near-term target
5Y Target$38.55Compound horizon
10Y Target$49.21Long-dated conviction
FCF$121mTTM · 04/26CFCF $121m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 04/26).
Rev+7.3%TTM YoYBRevenue +7.3% — at or above S&P median · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.28totalA-D/E 0.28 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E14.2xB+P/E 14.2 — at or below S&P median, reasonable
PEG1.93proxyC+PEG 1.93 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Commercial Services & Supplies · market cap $1.7b. 18% off the 52-week high of $35.11.
Moat
ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Beta 1.94 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $31.11 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $38.55 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $49.21 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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