FCF $2.4b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+28.9%TTM YoYA-
Revenue +28.9% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E1.65C
D/E 1.65 — more levered than most Technology peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E62.8xC
P/E 62.8 — expensive vs Technology peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG0.49A
PEG 0.49 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 59.9
Quality0.70
Growth0.69
Value0.44
Why this score
Diluting shareholders
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
24% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value509% aboveest. fair value ~$143
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability51% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC49.4% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Computer Hardware · market cap $197.7b. Down 24% from 52-week high of $1145.00 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +29% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.49 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 23 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $1,106 (implying +27% upside).
Moat
Net margin 22% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. FCF converts 101% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $197.7b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trailing P/E 62.8x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 2.10 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 18.0x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $1,106 (23-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $1,619 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $2,402 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
STX vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
STX
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.70
0.83
-0.12
Growth
0.69
0.91
-0.22
Value
0.44
0.75
-0.30
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · STX
Trend
+4.5 over 33 daily scores
From 55.4 (Jun 22) → 59.9 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · STX
$
%
%
Shares to buy
2
Position size
$1,742
3.5% of portfolio
Stop price
$653.08
25% below $870.77
$ at risk if stopped
$435.38
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) is a Computer Hardware company that scores 59.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and Rev (A-). On valuation, STX sits about 509% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.
Is STX a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores STX 59.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Seagate Technology Holdings plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does STX score 59.9 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). STX earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and Rev (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is STX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $870.77, STX sits about 509% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 62.8x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in STX?
Trailing P/E 62.8x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 2.10 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 18.0x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.