Super Micro Computer, Inc. — Computer Hardware. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Computer Hardware
FCF-$6.8bF
Rev+46.6%A
D/E1.21C
P/S0.6xA
PEG0.91B+
70.5Score
$28.68$18.6B
1Y Target$37.25Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$65.15Compound horizon
10Y Target$165.22Long-dated conviction
FCF-$6.8bTTMF
FCF is negative (-$6.8b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+46.6%TTM YoYA
Revenue +46.6% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E1.21C
D/E 1.21 — more levered than most Technology peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S0.6xA
P/S 0.6x — cheapest decile in Technology (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.91B+
PEG 0.91 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 70.5
Quality0.53
Growth1.00
Value0.65
Why this score
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
54% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability12% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC15.5% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Computer Hardware · market cap $18.6b. Down 54% from 52-week high of $62.36 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +47% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.91 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 16 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $37.25 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
ROE 16% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$6.8b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 54% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.94 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $37.25 (16-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $65.15 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $165.22 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · SMCI
Trend
-0.1 over 14 daily scores
From 70.6 (Jun 22) → 70.5 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · SMCI
$
%
%
Shares to buy
69
Position size
$1,979
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$21.51
25% below $28.68
$ at risk if stopped
$494.82
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI): score, valuation & FAQ
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is a Computer Hardware company that scores 70.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), P/S (A) and PEG (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.
Is SMCI a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores SMCI 70.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), P/S (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does SMCI score 70.5 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SMCI earns its highest marks on Rev (A), P/S (A) and PEG (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is SMCI overvalued or undervalued?
We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for SMCI — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.
What are the main risks of investing in SMCI?
Free cash flow is negative (-$6.8b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 54% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.94 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.