Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SRAD analysis

Sportradar Group AGSoftware - Application. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

SRAD
Sportradar Group AG · Software - Application
FCF$215mC
Rev+16.6%B+
D/E0.08B+
P/S2.4xA-
PEG
72Score
$13.02$3.9B
1Y Target$19.40Analyst consensus · 21 analysts
5Y Target$33.94Compound horizon
10Y Target$60.65Long-dated conviction
FCF$215mTTM · 03/26
C
FCF $215m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+16.6%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +16.6% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.08
B+
D/E 0.08 — below the Technology debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S2.4x
A-
P/S 2.4x — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality0.70
Growth0.94
Value0.72
Why this score
  • Short track record
  • Foreign reporter (EUR)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
60% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value14% aboveest. fair value ~$11
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~19% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability38% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Why now
Software - Application · market cap $3.9b. Down 60% from 52-week high of $32.22 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $19.40 (implying +49% upside).
Moat
ROE 10% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong. Software economics — recurring revenue, embedded customer workflows, and high gross margin all compound the moat once a base account is won. Switching costs are the lever.
Risk
Down 60% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.61 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.
Horizon
1-3 yr $19.40 (21-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $33.94 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $60.65 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

SRAD vs the Top Picks average

PillarSRADBook avgDiff
Quality0.700.83-0.13
Growth0.940.92+0.03
Value0.720.75-0.03

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+14.5 over 36 daily scores
From 57.5 (Jun 22) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
153
Position size
$1,992
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.77
25% below $13.02
$ at risk if stopped
$498.01
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD): score, valuation & FAQ

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) is a Software - Application company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-), Rev (B+) and D/E (B+). On valuation, SRAD sits about 14% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 19% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SRAD a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SRAD 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/S (A-), Rev (B+) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Sportradar Group AG's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SRAD score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SRAD earns its highest marks on P/S (A-), Rev (B+) and D/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SRAD overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $13.02, SRAD sits about 14% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 19% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SRAD?

Down 60% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.61 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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