1Y Target$14.94Near-term target
5Y Target$20.92Compound horizon
10Y Target$30.75Long-dated conviction
FCF—TTM—FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+15.1%TTM YoYB+Revenue +15.1% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.06AD/E 0.06 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet
P/E50.0xCP/E 50.0 — rich valuation; execution risk material
PEG3.32proxyDPEG 3.32 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure · market cap $4.1b. Down 60% from 52-week high of $32.22 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the 7-grade screen.
Risk
Down 60% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.66 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 50x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $14.94 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $20.92 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $30.75 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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