Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SIMO analysis

Silicon Motion Technology CorporationSemiconductors. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation · Semiconductors
FCF$6mC-
Rev+10.2%B
D/E
P/E63.7xC+
PEG0.70A-
52.3Score
$324.26$11.0B
1Y Target$281.20Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$411.70Compound horizon
10Y Target$610.74Long-dated conviction
FCF$6mTTM
C-
FCF $6m — barely positive; fragile cash position
Rev+10.2%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +10.2% — at or above S&P median
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/E63.7x
C+
P/E 63.7 — above the Technology median (≈75th pctile)
PEG0.70
A-
PEG 0.70 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 52.3
Quality0.57
Growth0.72
Value0.35
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
9% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value13457% aboveest. fair value ~$2
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~17% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC8.8% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $11.0b. 9% off the 52-week high of $355.00. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.70 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $281.20 (implying -13% upside).
Moat
Net margin 14% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 15% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Trailing P/E 63.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 1.69 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 12.4x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $281.20 (10-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $411.70 at ~5% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $610.74 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-10.2 over 15 daily scores
From 62.5 (Jun 22) → 52.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,946
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$243.19
25% below $324.26
$ at risk if stopped
$486.39
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (SIMO): score, valuation & FAQ

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (SIMO) is a Semiconductors company that scores 52.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, SIMO sits about 13457% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.

Is SIMO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SIMO 52.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Silicon Motion Technology Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SIMO score 52.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SIMO earns its highest marks on PEG (A-), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SIMO overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $324.26, SIMO sits about 13457% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 63.7x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SIMO?

Trailing P/E 63.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 1.69 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 12.4x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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