Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ROL analysis

Rollins, Inc.Personal Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

ROL
Rollins, Inc. · Personal Services
FCF$619mC+
Rev+9.9%B
D/E0.78B+
P/E34.4xC+
PEG2.89C
68Score
$37.80$18.2B
1Y Target$45.59Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$66.75Compound horizon
10Y Target$99.01Long-dated conviction
FCF$619mTTM
C+
FCF $619m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+9.9%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.9% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.78
B+
D/E 0.78 — below the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E34.4x
C+
P/E 34.4 — above the Consumer Cyclical median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.89
C
PEG 2.89 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68
Quality0.85
Growth0.81
Value0.45
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
43% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value30% aboveest. fair value ~$29
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~14% a year for the next decade — vs the ~12% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability83% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC27.1% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Personal Services · market cap $18.2b. Down 43% from 52-week high of $66.14 — deep drawdown territory. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $45.59 (implying +21% upside).
Moat
Net margin 14% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 116% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 43% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 34x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $45.59 (17-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $66.75 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $99.01 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ROL vs the Top Picks average

PillarROLBook avgDiff
Quality0.850.82+0.03
Growth0.810.90-0.09
Value0.450.75-0.30

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.5 over 30 daily scores
From 66.4 (Jun 22) → 67.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
52
Position size
$1,966
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$28.35
25% below $37.80
$ at risk if stopped
$491.40
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Rollins, Inc. (ROL): score, valuation & FAQ

Rollins, Inc. (ROL) is a Personal Services company that scores 68 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+). On valuation, ROL sits about 30% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 14% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ROL a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ROL 68 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Rollins, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ROL score 68 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ROL earns its highest marks on D/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ROL overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $37.80, ROL sits about 30% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 14% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 34.4x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ROL?

Down 43% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 34x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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