Personal Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
FTDR
Frontdoor, Inc. · Personal Services
68.7Score
$79.80Oct 9 close$5.5B
1Y Target$97.40Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$142.60Compound horizon
10Y Target$211.54Long-dated conviction
FCF$386mTTM · 06/26C
FCF $386m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+9.3%TTM YoYB
Revenue +9.3% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E4.17D
D/E 4.17 — most levered decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈95th pctile)
P/E21.1xC+
P/E 21.1 — above the Consumer Cyclical median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.38C
PEG 2.38 — expensive relative to growth rate
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 68.7
Quality87.4
Growth72.5
Value51.3
Why this score
Buying back stock
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
15% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value21% aboveest. fair value ~$66
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 12% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~9% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability55% · Agross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC24.1% · Areturn on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Personal Services · market cap $5.5b. 15% off the 52-week high of $93.43. 5 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $97.40 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 96% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 141% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
D/E 4.17 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Beta 1.53 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $97.40 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $142.60 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $211.54 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
FTDR vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
FTDR
Book avg
Diff
Quality
87
83
+4
Growth
72
89
-17
Value
51
76
-25
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · FTDR
Trend
+6.9 over 82 daily scores
From 61.8 (Jun 22) → 68.7 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
FTDR at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.0%
90-day change
+2.9%
Forward EPS estimate
$5.19
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FTDR to earn is drifting higher (+2.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · FTDR
$
%
%
Shares to buy
25
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$59.85
25% below $79.80
$ at risk if stopped
$498.75
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR): score, valuation & FAQ
Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) is a Personal Services company that scores 68.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
The model flags D/E (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, FTDR sits about 21% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 12% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is FTDR a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores FTDR 68.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Frontdoor, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does FTDR score 68.7 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 87.4 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 51.3 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. FTDR grades middle-of-pack across the graded signals, and is held back by D/E (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so FTDR is measured against Personal Services peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is FTDR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $79.80, FTDR sits about 21% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 12% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 21.1x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in FTDR?
D/E 4.17 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Beta 1.53 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.