Service Corporation International (SCI) stock analysis
Personal Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
SCI
Service Corporation International · Personal Services
47.0Score
$76.91Oct 9 close$10.5B
1Y Target$100.33Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$146.90Compound horizon
10Y Target$217.91Long-dated conviction
FCF$635mTTM · 06/26C+
FCF $635m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+2.9%TTM YoYC
Revenue +2.9% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E3.45C
D/E 3.45 — more levered than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E20.1xB
P/E 20.1 — near the Consumer Cyclical median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.38B
PEG 1.38 — acceptable premium for growth
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 47
Quality72.8
Growth49.4
Value29.0
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
15% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value5% belowest. fair value ~$81
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 3% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~4% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability6% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC11.3% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Personal Services · market cap $10.5b. 15% off the 52-week high of $90.99. 6 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $100.33 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 35% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 118% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
D/E 3.45 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
Horizon
1-3 yr $100.33 (6-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $146.90 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $217.91 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
SCI vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
SCI
Book avg
Diff
Quality
73
83
-10
Growth
49
89
-40
Value
29
76
-47
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · SCI
Trend
-10.4 over 82 daily scores
From 57.4 (Jun 22) → 47.0 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
SCI at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.0%
90-day change
+1.0%
Forward EPS estimate
$4.60
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SCI to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · SCI
$
%
%
Shares to buy
26
Position size
$2,000
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$57.68
25% below $76.91
$ at risk if stopped
$499.91
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Service Corporation International (SCI): score, valuation & FAQ
Service Corporation International (SCI) is a Personal Services company that scores 47 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
On valuation, SCI sits about 5% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 3% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten.
Is SCI a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores SCI 47 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Service Corporation International's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does SCI score 47 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 72.8 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 29.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. SCI grades middle-of-pack across the graded signals. Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so SCI is measured against Personal Services peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is SCI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $76.91, SCI sits about 5% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 3% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 20.1x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in SCI?
D/E 3.45 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.