Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SCI analysis

Service Corporation InternationalPersonal Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

SCI
Service Corporation International · Personal Services
FCF$575mC+
Rev+2.8%C
D/E3.26C
P/E22.7xB
PEG1.63C+
51.4Score
$86.00$11.9B
1Y Target$96.33Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$141.04Compound horizon
10Y Target$209.23Long-dated conviction
FCF$575mTTM
C+
FCF $575m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+2.8%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +2.8% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E3.26
C
D/E 3.26 — more levered than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E22.7x
B
P/E 22.7 — near the Consumer Cyclical median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.63
C+
PEG 1.63 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 51.4
Quality0.73
Growth0.58
Value0.32
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
5% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value5% aboveest. fair value ~$82
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~8% a year for the next decade — vs the ~10% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability6% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC11.4% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Personal Services · market cap $11.9b. 5% off the 52-week high of $90.88. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $96.33 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 34% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 107% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 3.26 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
Horizon
1-3 yr $96.33 (6-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $141.04 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $209.23 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

SCI vs the Top Picks average

PillarSCIBook avgDiff
Quality0.730.82-0.10
Growth0.580.90-0.32
Value0.320.75-0.43

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-5.2 over 32 daily scores
From 57.4 (Jun 22) → 52.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
23
Position size
$1,978
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$64.50
25% below $86.00
$ at risk if stopped
$494.50
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Service Corporation International (SCI): score, valuation & FAQ

Service Corporation International (SCI) is a Personal Services company that scores 51.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, SCI sits about 5% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 8% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SCI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SCI 51.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Service Corporation International's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SCI score 51.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SCI grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SCI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $86.00, SCI sits about 5% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 8% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 22.7x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SCI?

D/E 3.26 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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