Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PFE analysis

Pfizer Inc.Drug Manufacturers - General. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Pharma
PFE
Pfizer Inc. · Drug Manufacturers - General
FCF$11.0bA-
Rev-0.2%D+
D/E0.74C+
P/E36.8xC+
PEG2.72C
29.5Score
$27.97$159.4B
1Y Target$28.61Analyst consensus · 26 analysts
5Y Target$41.88Compound horizon
10Y Target$62.13Long-dated conviction
FCF$11.0bTTM
A-
FCF $11.0b — top-quartile, exceptional for any sector
Rev-0.2%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -0.2% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.74
C+
D/E 0.74 — above the Healthcare debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E36.8x
C+
P/E 36.8 — above the Healthcare median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.72
C
PEG 2.72 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 29.5
Quality66.1
Growth14.4
Value26.9
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
3% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value13% aboveest. fair value ~$25
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~3% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-3% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability23% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Drug Manufacturers - General · market cap $159.4b. Trading near 52-week high of $28.75 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. 26 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $28.61 (implying +2% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong. $159.4b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition. Pharma moat is patent runway + pipeline depth — a single approved molecule funds the next generation of bets. Late-stage trials carry binary readouts that swing valuation 30%+.
Risk
Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Dividend payout 226% of earnings on a 6.1% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Trailing P/E 37x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $28.61 (26-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $41.88 at ~8% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $62.13 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PFE vs the Top Picks average

PillarPFEBook avgDiff
Quality0.660.84-0.18
Growth0.140.87-0.73
Value0.270.76-0.49

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-4.9 over 46 daily scores
From 34.4 (Jun 22) → 29.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+2.2%
90-day change+2.1%
Forward EPS estimate$2.90

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PFE to earn is drifting higher (+2.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
71
Position size
$1,986
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$20.98
25% below $27.97
$ at risk if stopped
$496.47
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Pfizer Inc. (PFE): score, valuation & FAQ

Pfizer Inc. (PFE) is a Drug Manufacturers - General company that scores 29.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, PFE sits about 13% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 3% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PFE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PFE 29.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by FCF (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Pfizer Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PFE score 29.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PFE earns its highest marks on FCF (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PFE overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $27.97, PFE sits about 13% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 3% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 36.8x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PFE?

Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Dividend payout 226% of earnings on a 6.1% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Trailing P/E 37x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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