Bull Rankings model

Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC) stock analysis

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
PAHC
Phibro Animal Health Corporation · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
70.7Score
$38.30Oct 9 close$1.6B
1Y Target$44.00Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$64.42Compound horizon
10Y Target$95.56Long-dated conviction
FCF$10mTTM · 06/26
C-
FCF $10m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+17.1%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +17.1% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E2.06
D
D/E 2.06 — most levered decile in Healthcare (≈95th pctile)
P/E15.8x
A-
P/E 15.8 — cheaper than most Healthcare peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.68
C+
PEG 1.68 — modest premium; above fair value

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 70.7
Quality61.2
Growth80.6
Value71.7
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
36% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value773% aboveest. fair value ~$4
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing over 60% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~13% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability34% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC15.2% · A-return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · market cap $1.6b. Down 36% from 52-week high of $60.08 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $44.00 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Pharma moat is patent runway + pipeline depth — a single approved molecule funds the next generation of bets. Late-stage trials carry binary readouts that swing valuation 30%+.
Risk
D/E 2.06 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.
Horizon
1-3 yr $44.00 (4-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $64.42 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $95.56 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

PAHC vs the Top Picks average

PillarPAHCBook avgDiff
Quality6183-22
Growth8189-8
Value7276-4

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+1.1 over 40 daily scores
From 69.6 (Jun 22) → 70.7 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

PAHC at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD70.7/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY61.2GROWTH80.6VALUE71.7Reverse-DCF · Price implies 60%+ growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$3.9–$5.2FAIR-VALUE RANGE$38.3PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$4.4 · price $38.3 is 773% above it.
REVENUE TO CASHRevenue$1.5b · 100%Net income$99.7m · 6.6%Free cash flow$9.9m · 0.6%Cash flow trails profit — earnings lean on accruals.
LEVERAGE & CASH COVERCONSERVATIVEMODERATELEVERAGEDHIGH2.1DEBT / EQUITYDebt-to-equity of 2.1 reads high for a non-financial. Gradedagainst sector peers, not one absolute bar.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.2%
90-day change-0.2%
Forward EPS estimate$3.84

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PAHC to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
52
Position size
$1,992
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$28.72
25% below $38.30
$ at risk if stopped
$497.90
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC): score, valuation & FAQ

Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC) is a Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic company that scores 70.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and Rev (B+), while FCF (C-) and D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PAHC sits about 773% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing over 60% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is PAHC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PAHC 70.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Phibro Animal Health Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PAHC score 70.7 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 80.6 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 61.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. PAHC earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and Rev (B+), and is held back by FCF (C-) and D/E (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so PAHC is measured against Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is PAHC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $38.30, PAHC sits about 773% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing over 60% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 15.8x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PAHC?

D/E 2.06 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

More Pharmaceuticals stocks by score

All Healthcare rankings →

Analyze another ticker →